FNUS75 KMSO 241647
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR ALDER CREEK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
1047 AM MDT TUE AUG 24 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1021 MDT ON AUGUST 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...MUCH DRIER WITH A DEVELOPING HIGH HAINES INDEX...
...A STRONG AND DRY COLD FRONT EXPECTED LATE THURSDAY.

.DISCUSSION...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION AND
PRODUCE MUCH WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS INTO THURSDAY.  IN ADDITION...
NIGHTTIME RH RECOVERIES WILL BECOME VERY POOR.  AS THE ATMOSPHERE HEATS
UP...IT WILL ALSO BECOME INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE LEADING TO A HIGH HAINES
INDEX LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY.  A STRONG AND DRY COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE AREA LATE THURSDAY WITH SIGNIFICANT WINDS.  WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY LOOK TO BE A VERY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER PERIOD FOR THIS
FIRE AREA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE...MOSTLY UPSLOE 1 TO 5 MPH...BECOMING
                    WEST 3-8 MPH LATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL THIS AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-60.
MAX HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 1-4 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-82.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-14 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 2-6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........INCREASING TO A 6 HIGH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...BAUCK
REQUESTED BY...INCIDENT COMMANDER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100824.ALDER.01/MSO