FNUS75 KMSO 251747
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR ALDER CREEK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
1147 AM MDT WED AUG 25 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1123 MDT ON AUGUST 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...A VERY DRY AND HOT AIRMASS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE FIRE
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS TODAY WILL INCREASE AND BECOME GUSTY
TODAY BETWEEN 1300 AND 1500 MDT AS THE ATMOSPHERE FULLY
DESTABILIZES. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY
NEAR RIDGE TOP. MAX TEMPERATURES AND MINIMUM RH'S WILL LIKELY OCCUR
LATE BETWEEN 1700 AND 1800 MDT THIS EVENING. POOR RH RECOVERIES CAN BE
EXPECTED TONIGHT. AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT TOMORROW WILL
SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASE WINDS BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
WITH CONTINUED WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
MIN HUMIDITY........11-16 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH AFTER
                    1500 MDT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-67.
MAX HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8-12 MPH BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-86.
MIN HUMIDITY........11-16 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    12-19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......13200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 40 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.

$$
FORECASTER...PALLISTER
REQUESTED BY...INCIDENT COMMANDER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100825.ALDER.01/MSO