FNUS75 KTFX 260226
FWSTFX

SPOT FORECAST FOR DAVIS  5...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
826 PM MDT WED AUG 25 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 2015 MDT ON AUGUST 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
THURSDAY NIGHT FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND VERY WARM
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES...

.DISCUSSION...

SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL BRING VERY WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS TO
THE AREA THURSDAY WITH INCREASING WINDS IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. STRONGEST WINDS WILL LIKELY OCCUR AFTER 1600...CONTINUING
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. A COLD FRONT WILL REACH THE AREA AROUND
MIDNIGHT...SHIFTING WINDS FROM SOUTHWEST TO WEST...WITH RIDGETOP
WINDS INCREASING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM
CANNOT BE RULED OUT ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT HOWEVER
MOISTURE WILL BE VERY LIMITED AND THE FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL
PRIMARILY BE DRY...HOWEVER HUMIDITY WILL INCREASE WITH SIGNIFICANT
COOLING BY FRIDAY MORNING. WINDY BUT MUCH COOLER CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................ZERO PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
MIN HUMIDITY........9-14 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING
                    TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WIND......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING
                    TO AROUND 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH
                    LATE IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15-20 MPH.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM
                    IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................LESS THAN 10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
MAX HUMIDITY........59-64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    30 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WIND......WEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    35 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO AROUND 1000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 20-30 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    35 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WIND......WEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH...GUSTS TO AROUND 40
                    MPH IN THE MORNING
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 20-30 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...HOENISCH
REQUESTED BY...HIDC
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100825.DAVIS.03/TFX