FNUS75 KMSO 270114
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR ALDER CREEK UPDATE 8 27 IAP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
714 PM MDT THU AUG 26 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1901 MDT ON AUGUST 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT...

.DISCUSSION...CURRENT POSITION OF THE COLD FRONT IS SLOWLY MOVING
THROUGH CENTRAL IDAHO AND IS POISED TO CROSS WESTERN MONTANA IN
THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL
CONTINUE UNTIL THE FRONT CROSSES AND WINDS TURN WESTERLY BEHIND
THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. THE ATMOSPHERE IS STILL VERY UNSTABLE WITH
FAST-MOVING THUNDERSTORMS POPPING UP AROUND THE FIRE. LIGHTNING
AND ERRATIC GUSTY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH ANY CELLS THAT
FORM OVER THE SITE. A COOLER AIRMASS IS EXPECTED FOR FRIDAY
ALTHOUGH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN SOMEWHAT ELEVATED THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND RAIN
                    SHOWERS THIS EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-52.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 15-20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH
                    DECREASING TO 30 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 8-15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
                    INCREASING TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...ALLEGRETTO
REQUESTED BY...INCIDENT COMMANDER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100826.ALDER.02/MSO