FNUS75 KMSO 261654
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR POLLOCK RIDGE FUELS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
1054 AM MDT THU AUG 26 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 PDT ON AUGUST 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM
MDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...A VERY HOT AND DRY AIR MASS WILL PERSIST TODAY.  THE
ATMOSPHERE HAS BECOME RELATIVELY UNSTABLE ALOFT...SUPPORTING A HAINES
INDEX NEAR 6 AS WELL.  A VIGOROUS DRY COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE
SPOT LOCATION AND SUPPORT INCREASING SOUTHWEST WINDS THIS AFTERNOON.
THE WINDS WILL PEAK WITH A COLD FRONT LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
AND SHIFT TO A MORE WESTERLY DIRECTION.  THIS IS A VERY CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER PERIOD.  A MUCH COOLER AIR MASS WILL MOVE OVER THE FIRE
FRIDAY...BUT WITH SIGNIFICANT WINDS CONTINUING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....96 BOTTOM TO 87 TOP.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-12 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5-10 MPH LOWER ELEVATIONS AND 10-15 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS 25 MPH HIGHER TERRAIN BY MID DAY.  WIND
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST AND INCREASING TO 15-30 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO 40 MPH MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SPRINKLE OR
                    DRY THUNDERSTORM IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................LESS THAN 10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-60.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 15-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH...DECREASING
                    TO 5-15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY AND MUCH COOLER.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72 LOWER ELEVATIONS TO 57 HIGHER PORTION.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT LOWER PORTION AND 34 PERCENT UPPER PART.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8-12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...BAUCK
REQUESTED BY...MIKE LUBKE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100826.POLLO.01/MSO