FNUS75 KGJT 280253
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR LION CREEK...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
853 PM MDT FRI AUG 27 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2026 MDT ON AUGUST 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE OVER THE REGION SATURDAY AT THE
SAME TIME AN APPROACHING WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO PROVIDE A
LIFTING MECHANISM. STORMS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS BUT
ONLY LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL. THE BEST CHANCE OF STORMS WILL BE
LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A LITTLE DRIER...COOLER AND
MORE STABLE AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION SUNDAY FOR LESS ACTIVITY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 3-5 MPH INCREASING TO 10-15 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (15900-30300 KNOT-FT) UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    INCREASING TO EXCELLENT BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7600 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-91%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    25 MPH. STRONGER GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD DECREASING TO POOR (19800-24700 KNOT-FT)
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 26 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTH WINDS 10-15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. STRONGER GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 27 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE CHAMBERLAIN
REQUESTED BY...TANNER HUTT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100827.LIONC.02/GJT