FNUS73 KUNR 280027
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR FLYNN CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
627 PM MDT FRI AUG 27 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1816 MDT ON AUGUST 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...EXTREMELY DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY
THIS EVENING WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY'S SLOWLY INCREASING THROUGH THE
NIGHT. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH THROUGH THE NIGHT.
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT...WITH DRY LIGHTNING
POSSIBLE THROUGH 03Z.

SATURDAY WILL BE PARTLY CLOUDY AND COOLER WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY'S AROUND 25 PERCENT. THERE WILL BE A CONTINUED CHANCE OF
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........89 AT REQUEST...MIN 56.
RH..................17 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MAX 51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH 12 TO 18 MPH AT REQUEST DIMINISHING
                    TO 6 TO 12 MPH BY MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................9 PERCENT.
LAL.................6 UNTIL 2100...THEN 2.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 TO 1200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 5 TO
                    7 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD DECREASING TO POOR EARLY IN THE EVENING.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 85.
RH..................MIN 26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 14 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................14 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 TO 5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.

$$
FORECASTER...LC
REQUESTED BY...MEGAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100827.FLYNN.01/UNR