FNUS73 KLSX 291641
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CARTY...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1141 AM CDT SUN AUG 29 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1115 CDT ON AUGUST 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL KEEP MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
AROUND 50 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON.  AREA OF SHOWERS AND A FEW STORMS
OVER WESTERN TENNESSEE LATE THIS MORNING WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
NORTHWARD...WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE AREA BY
LATE AFTERNOON.  TEN HOUR DEAD FUEL MOISTURE AT SINKIN AND
FARMINGTON FELL INTO THE 5 TO 8 PERCENT RANGE ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1300...THEN 1-8 STRIKES.
TEMPERATURE.........82 AT REQUEST...MAX 88.
RH..................65 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 49 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTHEAST AT 2 TO 3 MPH.
WIND...20 FT........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH AT
                    REQUEST...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WIND 10 TO 11
                    MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AFL AT IGNITION...
                    5400 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 23 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....VERY GOOD (16984 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1-8 STRIKES.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 68.
RH..................MAX 95 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTHEAST AT 2 MPH.
WIND...20 FT........SOUTHEAST WIND 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WIND......N/A.
VENTILATION RATE....N/A.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1-8 STRIKES.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 86.
RH..................MIN 63 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTH AT 2 MPH.
WIND...20 FT........SOUTH WIND 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 18 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....POOR (5027 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...BRITT
REQUESTED BY...JERRY SOARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100829.CARTY.01/LSX