FNUS73 KUNR 291940
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR FLYNN CREEK...SD-BKF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
140 PM MDT SUN AUG 29 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1312 MDT ON AUGUST 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON WILL FEATURE PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPERATURES
WILL REACH THE LOWER 80S AND SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE. THERE IS A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY ON MONDAY.
TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY WILL BE A BIT COOLER WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 83.
RH..................MIN 20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH POSSIBLE
                    ON EXPOSED RIDGES. VARIABLE WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH POSSIBLE NEAR
                    ANY THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9600 TO 10600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 56.
RH..................MAX 67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO
                    THE NORTH AROUND 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................16 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......FALLING TO 100 TO 600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    AROUND 10 MPH AFTER SUNSET...THEN SHIFTING TO
                    THE NORTH AROUND 9 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD DECREASING TO POOR EARLY IN THE EVENING.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    MORNING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 77.
RH..................MIN 33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 8 TO 16 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 TO 7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 15 TO 25
                    MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR INCREASING TO EXCELLENT.

$$
FORECASTER...GR
REQUESTED BY...MATT SPRING
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100829.FLYNN.01/UNR