FNUS73 KBIS 011413
FWSBIS

SPOT FORECAST FOR S CRP...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
913 AM CDT WED SEP 1 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ACROSS WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA IS
FORECAST TO MOVE EAST INTO CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THIS AFTERNOON.
SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE FROM THE SOUTH DURING THE
LATE MORNING AND INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON AHEAD OF THE TROUGH. WINDS
WILL BE STRONGEST NEAR MID DAY...WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15 TO 20
MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH POSSIBLE. THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH
REGARDS TO HOW STRONG THE GUSTS MAY BE AT MID DAY...AS THERE MAY BE A
BRIEF ONE TO TWO HOUR WINDOW NEAR IGNITION TIME WHEN THE GUSTS MAY
APPROACH 30 MPH. HOWEVER...BY MID AFTERNOON WIND SPEEDS SHOULD
DECREASE TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH AN OCCASIONAL GUST TO 20 MPH. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO  POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA...WITH ERRATIC AND RAPIDLY CHANGING WINDS NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS.
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO TRANSITION TO WEST NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH BY 5
TO 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........67 AT IGNITION...MAX 74.
RH..................45 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 10 TO 15 MPH AT IGNITION WITH
                    GUSTS TO 25 MPH POSSIBLE. THEN SOUTH 10 TO 15
                    MPH IN THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 51.
RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO
                    AROUND 10 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    BECOMING WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT INCREASING TO
                    AROUND 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 69.
RH..................MIN 45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO
                    NORTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...AYD
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS GORDON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100901.SCRP_.01/BIS