FNUS75 KCYS 062237
FWSCYS

SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEP CREEK...BLM RAD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
437 PM MDT MON SEP 6 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
POOR RECOVERIES EXPECTED TONIGHT ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL DECREASE AROUND
SUNSET BECOMING DOMINATED BY LIGHT DOWNSLOPE OVERNIGHT. EXPECT WINDS
TO INCREASE AFTER 1100 AM MDT TUESDAY WITH GOOD MIXING AND VERY DRY
CONDITIONS AT THE SURFACE AND LOWER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE AGAIN
EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS TUESDAY. THIS WILL YIELD A HIGHER
HAINES INDEX THAN THE AFTERNOON HOURS OF MONDAY...WITH A PERIOD OF
HIGH-END HAINES 5 CONDITIONS DURING THE PERIOD FROM NOON THROUGH
400 PM MDT...AND HAINES 6 CONDITIONS FROM 400 PM MDT THROUGH
SUNSET TUESDAY EVENING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
MAX HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 18 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH AFTER 800 PM MDT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (3100-16400 KNOT-FT).

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68 TO 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........8 TO 12 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10
                    TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH AFTER 1100 AM MDT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH...INCREASING TO 6 AFTER
                    400 PM MDT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8200 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO EXCELLENT (17000-148200 KNOT-FT).

$$
FORECASTER...CARPENTER
REQUESTED BY...BARAJAS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100901.DEEPC.01/CYS