FNUS74 KOUN 011237
FWSOUN

SPOT FORECAST FOR TISHOMINGO REFUGE...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
737 AM CDT WED SEP 1 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK DISTURBANCE MOVING ALONG THE RED RIVER IS EXPECTED TO KEEP
AT LEAST SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AROUND THE BURN AREA
THROUGH THE MORNING. THERE MAY BE A BREAK FOR A FEW HOURS IN THE
EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE SOLAR HEATING HELPS ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
TO DEVELOP. RAIN CHANCES ARE LOW TONIGHT...BUT MORE RAIN IS
EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT AS A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE
AREA. FRIDAY...NORTH WINDS AND MUCH DRIER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83 AT IGNITION...MAX 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 54 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1200-3100
                    FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-4800 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 1100-2700 FT
                    AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 6
                    TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  CLOUDY CLOUDY PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............83     88     91     92     91     87
RH..............72     61     56     54     56     61
20 FT WIND......S 7    SW 6   SW 5   SW 5   S 6    SE 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....2000   4200   4000   1400   1200   1000
MIX HGT (M).....610    1280   1220   430    370    300
TRANSPORT WIND..S 16   SW 14  SW 9   SW 6   S 8    SE 10
TRAN WIND (M/S).S 7    SW 6   SW 4   SW 3   S 4    SE 4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 76.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 82 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 47 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8000-9100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 9 TO 18 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...TAYLOR
REQUESTED BY...RICHARD BAKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100901.TISHO.01/OUN