FNUS75 KBOU 011947 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR ARSENAL RX BURN...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 145 PM MDT WED SEP 1 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...SURFACE FRONT TO MOVE ACROSS AREA AROUND 0900 THURSDAY...WITH WINDS SHIFTING FROM THE WEST TO THE NORTHEAST. SOME GUSTS TO 25 MPH POSSIBLE THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL DECREASE THURSDAY EVENING. THOUGH MOISTURE IS LIMITED...SOME LOW CLOUDS COULD DEVELOP DURING THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS AND MIXING HEIGHTS WILL BE SUFFICIENT TO PRODUCE GOOD SMOKE DISPERSION DURING THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER. HUMIDITY WILL REMAIN LOW...WITH MINIMUM READINGS AROUND 20%. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55. MAX HUMIDITY........55-60%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 8-13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN SOUTH 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-16 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN LIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......12200 FT AGL...LOWERING TO 1000 FT AGL BY 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900...BECOMING POOR BY 2100. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35%) UNTIL 1800...THEN MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80. MIN HUMIDITY........20-25%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST TO WEST 4-10 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN NORTHEAST 10-16 MPH. GUSTS TO 25 MPH FROM 0900 TO 1300. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 7400-7600 FT AGL BY 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN GOOD. FAIR AFTER 1600. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50. MAX HUMIDITY........65-70%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 8-12 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN SOUTHEAST 8-13 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTH 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 12 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN LIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......7400 FT AGL...LOWERING TO 1000 FT AGL BY 1900. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR ARSENAL. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 09/01-13 13 0 84 17 SW 3 1 11686 W 15 157774 E 09/01-14 13 0 85 16 W 6 1 12499 W 16 174841 E 09/01-15 13 0 87 15 NW 8 8 4 1 W23 13312 W 16 191907 E 09/01-16 13 0 86 15 NW 10 1 12964 W 16 181532 E 09/01-17 13 0 85 16 NW 13 1 12616 W 16 171157 E 09/01-18 16 0 84 16 NW 13 20 5 1 W16 12268 W 15 160783 E 09/01-19 16 0 80 18 NW 12 1 8255 W 13 107759 V 09/01-20 16 0 75 21 NW 8 1 4242 NW 10 54736 F 09/01-21 16 0 72 23 NW 6 6 4 1 W16 229 NW 8 1712 P 09/01-22 16 0 69 25 W 5 1 214 W 8 1425 P 09/01-23 16 0 67 27 W 5 1 198 W 7 1138 P 09/02-00 2 0 63 32 SW 5 5 4 1 W20 183 W 6 851 P 09/02-01 2 0 60 37 SW 5 1 180 SW 5 747 P 09/02-02 2 0 58 43 S 5 1 177 SW 5 644 P 09/02-03 2 0 57 48 S 5 5 4 1 W20 175 SW 3 540 P 09/02-04 2 0 56 52 S 3 1 196 SW 2 449 P 09/02-05 2 0 55 56 CALM 1 218 SW 2 358 P 09/02-06 2 0 55 57 CALM 1 2 1 W30 240 CALM 267 P 09/02-07 2 0 57 53 S 3 1 1190 W 5 10100 P 09/02-08 2 0 60 46 SE 7 1 2141 N 8 19932 P 09/02-09 2 0 64 37 SE 10 16 2 1 W37 3091 N 12 29765 P 09/02-10 2 0 68 31 E 13 1 4522 N 12 44365 F 09/02-11 2 0 70 28 NE 15 1 5952 NW 12 58916 F 09/02-12 27 0 72 26 NE 16 24 2 1 NW33 7382 NW 12 73467 G 09/02-13 27 0 74 24 NE 16 1 7441 NW 9 60834 G 09/02-14 27 0 75 23 NE 16 1 7499 NW 7 48201 F 09/02-15 27 0 76 23 NE 15 22 2 1 W37 7558 NW 6 35568 P 09/02-16 27 0 75 23 NE 13 1 7499 NW 5 33634 P 09/02-17 27 0 74 24 NE 12 1 7440 N 5 31699 P 09/02-18 27 0 73 25 NE 10 10 2 1 W36 7381 N 5 29765 P 09/02-19 27 0 69 29 NE 9 1 5043 NE 7 21123 P 09/02-20 27 0 65 33 E 9 1 2705 E 9 12481 P 09/02-21 27 0 62 37 E 8 8 2 1 W37 367 E 12 3839 P 09/02-22 27 0 59 40 SE 8 1 317 E 9 2836 P 09/02-23 27 0 57 44 S 7 1 267 SE 7 1833 P 09/03-00 8 0 54 50 S 7 7 2 1 W35 217 S 5 829 P 09/03-01 8 0 51 56 S 7 1 192 S 5 736 P 09/03-02 8 0 49 60 S 6 1 167 S 5 642 P 09/03-03 8 0 47 64 S 6 6 2 1 W30 143 S 5 548 P 09/03-04 8 0 47 66 S 6 1 150 S 5 572 P 09/03-05 8 0 46 68 S 5 1 157 S 5 595 P 09/03-06 8 0 46 68 S 5 5 2 1 NW25 164 S 5 618 P 09/03-07 8 0 48 64 S 5 1 1597 S 6 9976 P 09/03-08 8 0 54 51 S 3 1 3030 S 7 19333 P 09/03-09 8 0 61 40 S 3 3 2 1 NW23 4464 S 7 28690 P 09/03-10 8 0 68 32 S 3 1 5422 SW 6 25511 P 09/03-11 8 0 71 28 S 3 1 6381 W 5 22331 P 09/03-12 10 6 74 25 S 3 3 2 1 NW23 7339 W 3 19152 P 09/03-13 10 6 77 23 S 3 1 7578 W 2 18393 P 09/03-14 10 6 78 22 SE 3 1 7816 W 2 17634 P 09/03-15 10 6 79 21 SE 3 3 2 1 NW25 8055 W 2 16875 P 09/03-16 10 6 79 21 SE 3 1 7825 W 2 15263 P 09/03-17 10 6 78 22 SE 5 1 7596 SW 2 13652 P 09/03-18 10 6 78 22 SE 5 5 2 1 W30 7367 S 2 12041 P 09/03-19 10 6 75 25 SE 5 1 5044 S 3 8953 P 09/03-20 10 6 71 29 S 6 1 2721 S 6 5865 P 09/03-21 10 6 69 32 S 6 6 2 1 W30 397 S 8 2777 P 09/03-22 10 6 68 35 S 6 1 378 S 8 2692 P 09/03-23 10 6 66 38 SW 7 1 358 S 8 2606 P 09/04-00 14 0 63 43 SW 7 7 2 1 W25 338 SW 8 2520 P 09/04-01 14 0 61 46 SW 7 1 331 SW 8 2339 P 09/04-02 14 0 60 48 SW 7 1 323 SW 8 2157 P 09/04-03 14 0 59 49 SW 7 7 4 1 NW28 316 SW 7 1976 P 09/04-04 14 0 58 50 SW 7 1 330 SW 7 2008 P 09/04-05 14 0 58 51 SW 7 1 344 SW 7 2040 P 09/04-06 14 0 56 55 SW 7 7 4 1 NW30 358 W 7 2071 P 09/04-07 14 0 57 55 W 6 1 09/04-08 14 0 65 46 W 6 1 09/04-09 14 0 71 37 W 5 5 1 09/04-10 14 0 78 29 W 3 1 09/04-11 14 0 82 25 NW 2 1 09/04-12 19 0 85 21 NW 2 2 1 09/04-13 19 0 87 19 NW 2 1 09/04-14 19 0 88 17 NW 3 1 09/04-15 19 0 90 16 NW 3 3 1 09/04-16 19 0 89 16 NW 3 1 09/04-17 19 0 88 17 N 3 1 09/04-18 19 0 87 17 N 3 3 1 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...LESZCYNSKI...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...WILL BRIGGS REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100902.ARSEN.01/BOU