FNUS73 KGRR 020938
FWSGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR KALAMAZOO OIL...NOAA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
538 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0458 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN TONIGHT INTO
THURSDAY WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS. LOCAL RAINFALL RATES COULD EXCEED A HALF INCH PER HOUR
IN ANY HEAVIER SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM.  HEAT INDEX VALUES AROUND
80 DEGREES ARE FORECASTED THIS AFTERNOON.

AN INTENSIFYING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE LAKE SUPERIOR REGION
THURSDAY NIGHT WILL SEND A STRONG COLD FRONT THROUGH LOWER MICHIGAN.
VERY COOL AIR WILL MOVE IN STARTING FRIDAY AND FOR THE START OF THE
LABOR DAY WEEKEND. IN FACT HIGH TEMPERATURES FRIDAY WILL ONLY REACH
THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S AND TEMPERATURES WILL ONLY REACH THE 60S
SATURDAY. IT WILL BECOME QUITE WINDY FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL MIDDAY...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 79.
RH..................MIN 69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 6 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 23 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2300 FT AGL.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 64.
RH..................MAX 84 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 18 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 14
                    TO 21 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-2500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1600-2100 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 70.
RH..................MIN 61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. WEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 13 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO 26 TO 35 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6600-7100 FT
                    AGL.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...


SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 52.
RH..................MAX 83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 26 TO 32 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700-5200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2600-3100 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 64.
RH..................MIN 50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 22 TO 29 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-4900 FT AGL.


$$
FORECASTER...MJS
REQUESTED BY...DAVE LAWRENCE
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT
.TAG 20100902.KALAM.01/GRR