FNUS75 KGJT 042144
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR DRY PARK...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
344 PM MDT SAT SEP 4 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1545 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY BELOW
7500 FEET...

.DISCUSSION...
CLEARING SKIES BY SUNSET WILL ALLOW NORMAL DRAINAGE WINDS TO DEVELOP
TONIGHT. IT APPEARS THAT THE FIRE SITE LOCATED ON MIDSLOPE WILL
LIKELY BE WITHIN THE THERMAL BELT AS WELL. DRY WINDY CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SUNDAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING WEATHER DISTURBANCE AND ITS
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT...WHICH IS EXPECTED TO PASS SUNDAY NIGHT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........35-45%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5-10 MPH...BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY BY 1930 3-7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD DECREASING TO POOR (10200-13900 KNOT-FT) IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-17%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTH WINDS 7-12 MPH DEVELOPING AFTER
                    1100...THEN INCREASING BY AFTERNOON TO SOUTHWEST
                    15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (16200-20400 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT BY NOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8800 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 MPH INCREASING TO 31 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE CHAMBERLAIN
REQUESTED BY...MONTROSE INTERAGENCY DISPATCH CENTER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100904.DRYPA.01/GJT