FNUS75 KGJT 060300
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR DOLORES RIM...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
900 PM MDT SUN SEP 5 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1610 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
DRY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL PREVAIL OVER THE BURN SITE TODAY AS A
FLAT RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. THE RIDGE AXIS
PASSES TONIGHT WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW BECOMING ESTABLISHED ON
TUESDAY. THIS WILL BRING IN INCREASE IN MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS
BY LATE IN THE DAY...ALTHOUGH DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 4-8 MPH. OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 25 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (LESS THAN 20000 KNOT-FT) UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING GOOD BY 1300.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0930...THEN INCREASING TO
                    6000 FT AGL BY 1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 16 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........38-43%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 0-5 MPH BY 2100.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING POOR (LESS THAN 5000 KNOT-FT) BY 2100.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 1000 FT AGL BY 2200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%) UNTIL 1200...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-18%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    SOUTHWEST WINDS 4-8 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    TO AROUND 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (LESS THAN 10000 KNOT-FT) UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING EXCELLENT BY 1300.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 9500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JEFF COLTON
REQUESTED BY...BRAD PIETRUSZKA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100905.DOLOR.02/GJT