FNUS73 KUNR 052235
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR LONG RIDGE...SD-BKF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
435 PM MDT SUN SEP 5 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1621 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

...COLD FRONT ON THE DOOR STEP...GUSTY NORTH WINDS LATER...

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT OVER NORTHEAST WYOMING WILL SLIP INTO
THE FIRE AREA EARLY THIS EVENING...SHIFTING WINDS TO THE NORTH AND
BRINGING COOLER TEMPERATURES. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP
BEHIND THE FRONT...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE. GUSTY
NORTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED LABOR DAY WITH RAIN SHOWERS AT TIMES.

PLEASE NOTE THE COLD FRONTAL MOVEMENT HAS BEEN ERRATIC...SO BE PREPARED
FOR A WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTHEAST AT ANY TIME THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS OR
                    THUNDERSTORMS BEFORE MIDNIGHT. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND PERHAPS A THUNDERSTORM AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY
                    WINDS DEVELOPING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 8 1O 16 MPH
                    BETWEEN 500 PM AND 700 PM...THEN BECOMING NORTH
                    15 TO 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.LABOR DAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE
                    MORNING. GUSTY NORTH WINDS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. NORTH WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO AROUND 40 MPH.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 40 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.

$$
FORECASTER...EH
REQUESTED BY...KELSEY PAPROCKI
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100905.LONGR.02/UNR