FNUS75 KGJT 062104
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR DRY PARK...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
304 PM MDT MON SEP 6 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1500 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DRY AND STABLE AIR MOVED OVER THE BURN SITE TODAY.
SURFACE INVERSIONS WILL DEVELOP QUICKLY THIS EVENING UNDER CLEAR
SKIES AND NOT MIX OUT UNTIL MID TO LATE MORNING ON TUESDAY. WARMER
SOUTHWEST FLOW BECOMES ESTABLISHED TUESDAY WITH DAYTIME MIXING
RESULTING IN SOME GUSTY AFTERNOON WINDS. MOISTURE INCREASES
TUESDAY NIGHT WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
DRAINAGE WINDS TUESDAY NIGHT WILL LIKELY BE DISRUPTED.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........42-47%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL BY 2200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 MPH BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY
                    5 MPH BY 2200.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%) UNTIL 1200...THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (50-60%) BY 1500.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-4 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5-7 MPH INCREASING TO 8-12 MPH
                    AFTER 1300. OCCASIONAL GUST TO 25 MPH AFTER 1400.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    BY 1500.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-4 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST AND INCREASING TO 22 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...MONTROSE INTERAGENCY DISPATCH CENTER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100906.DRYPA.01/GJT