FNUS75 KPUB 071200
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR PARKER POND  UNIT 2 8 17...U.S. FISH & WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
600 AM MDT TUE SEP 7 2010

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD DRY START IS EXPECTED THIS MORNING WITH TEMPERATURES
NEAR FREEZING AND HUMIDITY VALUES ONLY NEAR 50 PERCENT WITH
LIGHT WINDS AT THE BURN SITE.  A WEAK DISTURBANCE OVER THE
DESERT SOUTHWEST WILL TURN SURFACE WINDS MORE SOUTHERLY AND
DRAW MOISTURE NORTHWARD BY LATER THIS AFTERNOON.  HUMIDITY
VALUES WILL LIKELY FALL QUICKLY THIS MORNING INTO THE LOWER
TEENS AS WINDS INCREASE BY MID MORNING WITH GUSTS TO NEAR
25 MPH POSSIBLE.  EXPECT THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP OVER THE
SAN JUAN RANGE BY LATE AFTERNOON AND SPREAD INTO THE BURN
SITE AREA BY SUNSET.  LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
ALONG WITH OUTFLOW WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THUNDERSTORMS.

EXPECT THUNDERSTORMS TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH ANOTHER ROUND
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY.  INCREASED
MOISTURE WILL ALLOW FOR BETTER OVERNIGHT HUMIDITY RECOVERIES
FOR TONIGHT.

SMOKE DISPERSALS WILL BE POOR THIS MORNING BECOMING EXCELLENT
THIS AFTERNOON AS WINDS MIX TO THE SURFACE.  POOR DISPERSALS
ARE FORECAST FOR TONIGHT WITH VERY GOOD DISPERSALS FOR WEDNESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH BECOMING SOUTH
                    SOUTHWEST AT 9 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    NEAR 25 MPH AFTER 1000.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL UNTIL 1100. 11500 FT AGL AFTER
                    1200.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 3 MPH UNTIL 1100. AROUND 22
                    MPH AFTER 1700.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800. EXCELLENT AFTER 1700.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(70 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48F.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-83 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH SOUTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING WEST SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH AFTER
                    1900.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 27 MPH UNTIL 2000...THEN WEST
                    AROUND 9 MPH UNTIL 2300...THEN SOUTHWEST AROUND
                    12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 2000...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................2.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(65 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80F.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    AT 8 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 20 MPH AFTER
                    1000.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 8500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.

$$
FORECASTER...MOZLEY
REQUESTED BY...DARWIN SCHULTZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100907.PARKE.01/PUB