FNUS73 KUNR 071650
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR MANDERSON RX...PINE RIDGE AGENCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
1050 AM MDT TUE SEP 7 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1500 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE STARTS
TO SHIFT OUT OF THE AREA. SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE WHILE MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES DROP INTO THE UPPER TEENS. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL
CONTINUE TO BLOW OVERNIGHT...WITH POOR TO FAIR RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERY.
AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE BURN SITE ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 78.
RH..................MIN 18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 TO 5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 55.
RH..................MAX 54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 13 TO 23 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 TO 700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD DECREASING TO POOR EARLY IN THE EVENING.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 85.
RH..................MIN 29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 14 TO 22 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 TO 6100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 18 TO 28 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...JS
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL TWISS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100907.MANDE.01/UNR