FNUS75 KGJT 100424 FWSGJT SPOT FORECAST FOR DRY PARK...BLM NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO 1024 PM MDT THU SEP 9 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1500 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 10. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE EAST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE DURING THE DAY FRIDAY. WINDS ALOFT WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST DURING THE AFTERNOON AND REMAIN THROUGH THE LATE EVENING. GRADIENT ALOFT RELAXES OVERNIGHT AND WINDS BECOME WESTERLY. EXPECT COOL TEMPERATURES OVERNIGHT BEHIND THE TROUGH AND UNDER CLEAR SKIES. RH VALUES WILL DROP INTO THE LOW TEENS SATURDAY AS MUCH DRIER AIR MOVES OVER THE FIRE AREA EARLY SATURDAY. DAY TIME TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY INCREASE. AS AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS THE SURFACE WINDS RELAX AND SKIES WILL BE CLEAR. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70 F. MIN HUMIDITY........22-27%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 6 TO 11 MPH WITH AN OCCASIONAL GUST TO 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO VERY GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16 MPH. .FRIDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37 F. MAX HUMIDITY........73-78%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH AN OCCASIONAL GUST TO 15 MPH IN THE EVENING SHIFTING TO TERRAIN DRIVEN 3 TO 6 MPH AFTER 2200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD DECREASING TO POOR IN THE LATE EVENING (2100) AND OVERNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......7200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76 F. MIN HUMIDITY........12-17%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 4 TO 8 IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO FAIR IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. $$ FORECASTER...AS REQUESTED BY...LUKE ODOM TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100910.DRYPA.01/GJT