FNUS76 KMFR 102314
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR OAK FLAT...USFS IMT3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
412 PM PDT FRI SEP 10 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1456 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE OVER THE REGION THROUGH
MONDAY WITH WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. A THERMAL TROUGH CENTERED ALONG THE
COAST WILL BRING  EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS AT RIDGE LEVEL WITH
FLOW BECOMING NORTHERLY IN THE AFTERNOONS. OVER LOWER ELEVATIONS
EXPECT MAINLY SLOPE DRIVEN WINDS. TEMPERATURES WILL INCREASE ABOUT
5 DEGREES SATURDAY AFTERNOON WITH ANOTHER 3 TO 4 DEGREE INCREASE
EXPECTED ON SUNDAY. AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES WILL BE SLIGHTLY DRIER ON
SATURDAY AND REMAIN DRY INTO NEXT WEEK. ALSO...RIDGE TOP RECOVERIES
WILL LOWER SATURDAY MORNING TO AROUND 60 TO 70 PERCENT THEN TO
AROUND 50 TO 60 PERCENT SUNDAY MORNING. SIMILAR CONDITIONS TO
SUNDAY ARE EXPECTED ON MONDAY WITH WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS.

AROUND TUESDAY NEXT WEEK...THE RIDGE AXIS SHIFTS EAST AND EXPECT THE
THERMAL TROUGH TO MOVE INLAND. AT THIS TIME FLOW ALOFT WILL
TRANSITION TO SOUTHWESTERLY WITH A WEAK TROUGH OFF THE COAST. WILL
NEED TO MONITOR FOR SOUTHWEST FLOW TO BRING MOISTURE INTO THE AREA
WITH A SLIGHT RISK FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OR SHOWERS TOWARDS
THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.


.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. CHANCE FOR PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING IN THE VALLEY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-86 VALLEY AND 70-75 RIDGE TOPS AND UPPER
                     SLOPES
MIN HUMIDITY........17-30 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LOW ELEVATIONS...VARIABLE WINDS 0 TO 2 MPH IN
                    THE EARLY MORNING BECOMING UPSLOPE 1 TO 3 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. RIDGE TOPS...
EAST
                    WINDS 1 TO 2 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE
                    MORNING THEN BECOMING NORTH 1 TO 4 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1000-3000 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO 4000-7000
FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST TO SOUTHEAST 3 TO 6 MPH IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING NORTH 4 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS MAY BE VARIABLE 0 TO 2 MPH EARLY IN THE
                     MORNING FOR LOW ELEVATIONS BECOMING
                     UPSLOPE WINDS 1 TO 3 MPH INCREASING TO
                     3 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                     RIDGE TOPS...EAST WINDS 2 TO 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                     MORNING BECOMING SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE MORNING
                     THEN BECOMING NORTH 4 TO 8 MPH IN THE MID TO
                     LATE AFTERNOON.

NOTE: NO CONTACT NUMBER ON SPOT...REQUEST THIS IF ONE IS AVAILABLE.

$$
FORECASTER...CLARSTROM
REQUESTED BY...FBAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100910.OAKFL.01/MFR