FNUS75 KGJT 101551
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR EAST SOPRIS...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
951 AM MDT FRI SEP 10 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE BURN AREA WILL COME UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A
BROAD HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE CENTERED OVER TEXAS THIS WEEKEND. THIS
WILL BRING A DRY AND STABLE AIR MASS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. SURFACE
WINDS WILL BE TERRAIN-DRIVEN...WITH SMOKE COLUMNS SETTLING QUICKLY
LATE IN THE DAY AS SHADOWS OVERTAKE SLOPES.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-72 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........11-16%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-4 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5 MPH BY 1200.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........57-62%.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-13%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEYS 2-4 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5 MPH BY 1200.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...INCREASING TO GOOD
                    (90500 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......50 INCREASING TO 900 IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL AT 1200 INCREASING TO 8300 FT AGL BY
                    1500.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-4 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE BECOMING WEST 10 MPH AFTER
                    1200.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...GRAND JUNCTION AIR CENTER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100911.EASTS.01/GJT