FNUS76 KMFR 112310
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR OAK FLAT...USFS IMT3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
410 PM PDT SAT SEP 11 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1503 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVER
THE REGION THROUGH TOMORROW. EXPECT SIMILAR CONDITIONS TO SATURDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL INCREASE A COUPLE DEGREES COMPARED TO THE SATURDAY.
HOWEVER AFTERNOON HUMIDITY WILL BE FAIRLY SIMILAR. MORNING RECOVERIES
MAY BE SLIGHTLY LOWER AT RIDGE TOPS SUNDAY MORNING. WINDS ON SUNDAY
WILL BE PRIMARILY SLOPE DRIVEN EXCEPT NEAR RIDGE LEVEL. AT RIDGE LEVEL
WINDS WILL BE EAST TO SLIGHTLY NORTHEAST IN THE MORNING BECOMING
NORTH IN THE AFTERNOON.

ON MONDAY...A WEAK TROUGH TO THE SOUTHWEST WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT NORTHWARD WITH THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AXIS SHIFTING EAST OF THE
AREA. THIS WILL ALLOW SOUTHWEST FLOW TO DEVELOP ALOFT WITH MID LEVEL
MOISTURE MOVING INTO THE AREA. THEN...THE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO SHIFT
INLAND TUESDAY. ALSO  THE THERMAL TROUGH WILL WEAKEN LATE MONDAY AND
MOVE INLAND TUESDAY. EXPECT RIDGE HUMIDITIES TO GRADUALLY INCREASE MONDAY
AND TUESDAY. IN THE SOUTHWEST FLOW THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS OVER THE AREA MONDAY. HOWEVER
THE BEST INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE BURN AREA.
ON TUESDAY...SOUTHWEST FLOW REMAINS AND WILL CONTINUE TO
SEE A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS. THE
MAIN THREAT THOUGH FOR THUNDERSTORMS ON TUESDAY IS FORECAST
WELL EAST OF THE BURN AREA...MAINLY FROM THE CASCADES EASTWARD.

A PACIFIC FRONTAL SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST ON WEDNESDAY
AND IS FORECAST TO BRING WETTING RAINS TO THE BURN
AREA BY NEXT WEEKEND.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....LOWER ELEVATIONS 82-86 AND 75-78 RIDGE TOP AND
                    UPPER SLOPES.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LOW ELEVATIONS...VARIABLE WINDS 0 TO 2 MPH IN
                     THE EARLY MORNING BECOMING UPSLOPE 0 TO 2 MPH
                     INCREASING TO 1 TO 4 MPH IN THE MID TO LATE
                     AFTERNOON.
                    RIDGE TOPS...EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS 2 TO 4 MPH
                     BECOMING NORTH 2 TO 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS VARIABLE 0 TO 2 MPH EARLY IN THE
                     MORNING FOR LOW ELEVATIONS BECOMING
                     UPSLOPE WINDS 1 TO 3 MPH INCREASING TO
                     3 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    RIDGE TOPS...EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH
                     IN THE MORNING BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH
                     IN THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...CLARSTROM
REQUESTED BY...FBAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100911.OAKFL.01/MFR