FNUS75 KBOU 121956 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR LONGS PEAK SAR...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 156 PM MDT SUN SEP 12 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL MAINTAIN WARM AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH MONDAY. WINDS ALOFT WILL BE LIGHT TO MODERATE AND OUT OF THE WEST. WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MILD THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND THEN COOLING RAPIDLY AFTER 1800. THE SMOKE PLUME FROM THE FIRE WEST OF LOVELAND SHOULD REMAIN EAST OF THE LONGS PEAK AREA. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-58. MIN HUMIDITY........12-20%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 11-16 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-3800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR. HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-36. MAX HUMIDITY........34-40%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 12-21 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2800 FT AGL UNTIL 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-56. MIN HUMIDITY........16-242%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 8-13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING THEN 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......8200-9200 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. VERY GOOD AFTER 1500. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR LONGS PEAK SAR. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 09/12-13 40 0 48 18 W 14 1 2693 W 16 35797 P 09/12-14 40 0 48 18 W 13 1 2921 W 15 36904 P 09/12-15 40 0 49 18 W 13 20 6 1 W29 3148 W 14 38012 P 09/12-16 40 0 48 18 W 13 1 2875 W 15 34996 P 09/12-17 40 0 48 18 W 13 1 2601 W 15 31980 P 09/12-18 20 0 48 18 W 13 21 4 1 W28 2328 W 15 28965 P 09/12-19 20 0 47 19 W 14 1 1748 W 14 21607 P 09/12-20 20 0 46 22 W 15 1 1169 W 14 14249 P 09/12-21 20 0 44 25 SW 16 24 5 1 W24 589 W 14 6891 P 09/12-22 20 0 42 28 SW 16 1 451 W 14 5310 P 09/12-23 20 0 41 32 SW 17 1 314 SW 14 3730 P 09/13-00 22 0 40 34 SW 17 28 5 1 W31 176 SW 15 2149 P 09/13-01 22 0 39 35 SW 17 1 167 SW 15 2022 P 09/13-02 22 0 38 35 W 18 1 159 SW 14 1895 P 09/13-03 22 0 37 34 W 17 29 5 1 W31 151 W 14 1768 P 09/13-04 22 0 37 33 W 16 1 150 W 13 1607 P 09/13-05 22 0 36 33 W 14 1 151 W 12 1446 P 09/13-06 21 0 37 32 W 12 17 4 1 W35 151 W 10 1284 P 09/13-07 21 0 37 30 W 10 1 471 W 10 4344 P 09/13-08 21 0 39 29 W 10 1 790 W 10 7404 P 09/13-09 21 0 43 26 W 10 16 4 1 W36 1110 W 10 10463 P 09/13-10 21 0 46 25 W 10 1 3283 W 13 47214 F 09/13-11 21 0 47 24 W 10 1 5455 W 16 83963 G 09/13-12 37 0 48 24 W 10 10 4 1 SW43 7627 W 18 120713 V 09/13-13 37 0 49 23 W 10 1 8050 W 20 131140 V 09/13-14 37 0 49 21 W 12 1 8472 W 20 141567 V 09/13-15 37 0 50 20 W 12 18 4 1 W47 8894 W 20 151994 E 09/13-16 37 0 50 20 W 12 1 8366 W 20 137984 V 09/13-17 37 0 49 21 W 12 1 7838 W 18 123973 V 09/13-18 37 0 49 25 W 12 18 4 1 W41 7742 W 20 125820 V 09/13-19 37 0 47 28 W 12 1 09/13-20 37 0 46 31 W 10 1 09/13-21 37 0 45 34 W 10 16 4 1 W36 1073 W 12 11125 P 09/13-22 37 0 44 36 W 10 1 09/13-23 37 0 43 38 W 10 1 09/14-00 23 0 42 40 W 10 16 4 1 W31 427 W 12 4045 P 09/14-01 23 0 41 40 W 10 1 09/14-02 23 0 40 40 W 10 1 09/14-03 23 0 40 39 W 10 16 5 1 W28 230 W 10 2101 P 09/14-04 23 0 40 37 W 10 1 09/14-05 23 0 39 36 W 9 1 09/14-06 23 0 39 35 W 9 15 5 1 W30 224 W 9 1767 P 09/14-07 23 0 40 33 W 9 1 09/14-08 23 0 41 33 W 8 1 09/14-09 23 0 42 32 W 8 10 4 1 W32 850 W 8 5687 P 09/14-10 23 0 44 31 W 8 1 09/14-11 23 0 44 31 W 9 1 09/14-12 30 0 45 32 W 9 15 4 1 W31 8049 W 12 83079 G 09/14-13 30 0 45 33 W 9 1 09/14-14 30 0 46 35 W 10 1 09/14-15 30 0 46 37 W 10 16 4 1 W26 8961 W 14 101531 V 09/14-16 30 0 46 39 W 12 1 09/14-17 30 0 45 43 W 13 1 09/14-18 30 0 45 45 W 13 20 4 1 SW28 7474 W 15 92953 G 09/14-19 30 0 43 51 W 12 1 09/14-20 30 0 41 56 W 9 1 09/14-21 30 0 41 59 W 8 13 4 1 SW32 198 W 7 1155 P 09/14-22 30 0 40 61 W 8 1 09/14-23 30 0 39 63 W 8 1 09/15-00 18 0 38 66 SW 8 10 4 1 SW37 196 SW 7 1020 P 09/15-01 18 0 37 66 SW 8 1 09/15-02 18 0 36 66 W 9 1 09/15-03 18 0 36 65 W 10 16 4 1 SW36 243 W 9 1886 P 09/15-04 18 0 36 63 W 12 1 09/15-05 18 0 36 61 W 12 1 09/15-06 18 0 35 60 W 13 21 4 1 W33 175 W 12 1749 P 09/15-07 18 0 36 57 W 14 1 09/15-08 18 0 37 54 W 14 1 09/15-09 18 0 39 50 W 14 22 4 1 SW33 811 W 15 10532 P 09/15-10 18 0 41 47 W 14 1 09/15-11 18 0 42 45 W 14 1 09/15-12 49 10 43 44 W 13 21 4 2 SW44 2628 W 16 37488 P 09/15-13 49 10 44 44 W 12 2 09/15-14 49 10 44 44 W 10 2 09/15-15 49 10 44 44 W 10 16 2 2 09/15-16 49 10 44 45 W 15 2 09/15-17 49 10 44 46 W 21 2 09/15-18 49 10 44 46 W 24 39 2 2 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ DANKERS...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...NATE KNIGHT REASON FOR REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20100912.LONGS.01/BOU