FNUS75 KBOU 122215 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR RESERVOIR RD FIRE...OTHER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 415 PM MDT SUN SEP 12 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL REMAIN OVER COLORADO THROUGH MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH WEAK WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE STATE WILL PRODUCE WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENTS OVER THE REGION. SURFACE WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT AND FOLLOW DIURNALLY TERRAIN DRIVEN PATTERNS. MODERATE UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY WINDS LATE THIS AFTERNOON WILL TRANSITION TO DOWNSLOPE BY 2100. WINDS ON MONDAY MORNING WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE MORNING AND THEN BECOME UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY BY LATE MORNING AND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. HUMIDITY RECOVERIES WILL BE POOR OVERNIGHT. THE UPPER RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER THE STATE THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEK WITH NO SIGNIFICANT COOLING OR INCREASE IN MOISTURE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-48. MAX HUMIDITY........32-38%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 8-14 WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH UNTIL 1900 THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN LIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......12800 FT AGL UNTIL 1900 THEN DECREASING TO 1500-2000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-90. MIN HUMIDITY........5-10%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH AFTER 1000 THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 10-18 AFTER 1300. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000 THEN INCREASING TO 15000-16000 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1700...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH. .MONDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 2400...THEN CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-54. MAX HUMIDITY........34-42%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 8-10 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN WEST 10-16 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......15200 FT AGL UNTIL 1900 THEN DECREASING TO 1000-1500 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-84. MIN HUMIDITY........14-20%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 8-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN SOUTH 8-14 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN LIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3500 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 6000-7000 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 11000-12000 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 8000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR RESERVOIR RD FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 09/12-15 32 0 86 7 SE 7 7 6 1 W21 13821 W 13 151305 E 09/12-16 32 0 86 6 S 6 1 13459 W 13 142129 V 09/12-17 32 0 86 6 S 5 1 13097 SW 12 132952 V 09/12-18 39 0 83 7 SW 6 6 6 1 W15 12735 SW 12 123776 V 09/12-19 39 0 75 10 SW 5 1 8559 W 9 82812 G 09/12-20 39 0 68 14 W 3 1 4382 W 7 41848 F 09/12-21 39 0 65 17 W 3 3 6 1 W13 206 W 5 885 P 09/12-22 39 0 62 17 W 5 1 178 W 6 805 P 09/12-23 39 0 60 16 W 6 1 151 W 6 726 P 09/13-00 34 0 57 17 NW 7 7 6 1 W16 124 W 6 647 P 09/13-01 34 0 55 20 NW 7 1 114 W 6 592 P 09/13-02 34 0 52 25 NW 7 1 105 W 6 537 P 09/13-03 34 0 51 30 NW 6 6 6 1 W24 95 W 6 481 P 09/13-04 34 0 49 33 NW 5 1 89 W 5 392 P 09/13-05 34 0 48 36 NW 5 1 83 W 5 302 P 09/13-06 18 0 46 38 NW 3 3 5 1 W28 77 W 3 212 P 09/13-07 18 0 49 33 W 3 1 451 W 3 1618 P 09/13-08 18 0 57 23 W 3 1 826 W 3 3023 P 09/13-09 18 0 69 15 SW 3 3 5 1 W25 1200 SW 5 4429 P 09/13-10 18 0 75 12 S 3 1 5462 SW 8 61116 G 09/13-11 18 0 80 10 SE 3 1 9724 W 12 117803 V 09/13-12 29 0 83 10 E 5 5 6 1 W17 13986 W 14 174490 E 09/13-13 29 0 86 8 E 5 1 14924 W 14 185978 E 09/13-14 29 0 86 7 E 5 1 15863 W 14 197466 E 09/13-15 29 0 87 7 E 6 6 6 1 W14 16802 W 14 208954 E 09/13-16 29 0 88 8 E 5 1 16273 W 13 178150 E 09/13-17 29 0 87 9 E 5 1 15745 W 10 147347 V 09/13-18 41 0 85 12 E 6 6 6 1 W 8 15217 W 9 116543 V 09/13-19 41 0 78 15 NE 8 1 10263 W 10 79032 G 09/13-20 41 0 71 19 NW 10 1 5310 W 12 41520 F 09/13-21 41 0 70 20 W 12 17 4 1 S 5 357 W 13 4008 P 09/13-22 41 0 67 22 W 12 1 287 W 13 3128 P 09/13-23 41 0 65 23 W 12 1 218 W 12 2248 P 09/14-00 10 0 61 27 W 12 17 4 1 S 8 149 W 10 1367 P 09/14-01 10 0 59 30 W 12 1 135 W 10 1239 P 09/14-02 10 0 57 32 W 13 1 121 W 10 1111 P 09/14-03 10 0 55 35 W 13 20 4 1 SW13 107 W 10 982 P 09/14-04 10 0 54 36 W 14 1 111 W 10 997 P 09/14-05 10 0 54 37 W 14 1 115 W 10 1012 P 09/14-06 9 0 53 38 W 13 20 4 1 W13 119 W 10 1026 P 09/14-07 9 0 56 36 W 9 1 215 W 8 1043 P 09/14-08 9 0 60 33 W 6 1 311 W 6 1059 P 09/14-09 9 0 66 27 W 2 2 4 1 W12 406 SW 3 1075 P 09/14-10 9 0 71 23 SW 2 1 3514 W 5 19248 P 09/14-11 9 0 74 22 S 3 1 6622 W 6 37421 P 09/14-12 10 3 77 20 SE 5 5 4 1 W14 9730 W 7 55594 F 09/14-13 10 3 79 20 SE 6 1 10722 W 7 64770 G 09/14-14 10 3 80 19 SE 7 1 11713 SW 7 73945 G 09/14-15 10 3 81 19 SE 8 8 4 1 W14 12705 SW 8 83120 G 09/14-16 10 3 80 19 S 8 1 10376 SW 8 69965 G 09/14-17 10 3 78 21 S 7 1 8046 S 8 56809 F 09/14-18 61 3 78 21 S 7 7 5 1 W14 5717 S 9 43654 F 09/14-19 61 3 73 26 SW 7 1 3869 SW 8 29411 P 09/14-20 61 3 67 31 W 8 1 2022 W 7 15167 P 09/14-21 61 3 65 34 W 9 14 5 1 SW16 174 W 6 924 P 09/14-22 61 3 62 37 W 10 1 156 W 7 896 P 09/14-23 61 3 60 40 W 10 1 138 W 7 869 P 09/15-00 11 5 57 46 W 10 16 3 1 SW17 120 W 8 842 P 09/15-01 11 5 54 50 W 10 1 117 W 8 790 P 09/15-02 11 5 52 53 W 10 1 114 W 7 737 P 09/15-03 11 5 51 56 W 9 14 4 1 SW24 111 W 7 685 P 09/15-04 11 5 50 56 W 8 1 111 W 7 663 P 09/15-05 11 5 50 56 W 6 1 111 W 7 640 P 09/15-06 3 5 49 56 W 5 5 4 1 S22 111 W 7 618 P 09/15-07 3 5 52 50 W 3 1 397 W 12 6820 P 09/15-08 3 5 56 41 NW 2 1 684 W 17 13022 P 09/15-09 3 5 62 32 CALM 1 3 1 SW21 970 W 23 19224 P 09/15-10 3 5 69 26 CALM 1 3048 W 21 46070 F 09/15-11 3 5 71 24 CALM 1 5127 NW 18 72917 G 09/15-12 44 2 74 21 CALM 1 4 1 W35 7206 NW 16 99763 G 09/15-13 44 2 76 20 CALM 1 9100 NW 17 139564 V 09/15-14 44 2 77 19 N 2 1 10994 NW 18 179365 E 09/15-15 44 2 78 18 N 3 3 3 1 NW22 12888 W 20 219166 E 09/15-16 44 2 78 19 N 5 1 11924 NW 18 190912 E 09/15-17 44 2 76 20 NW 7 1 10959 NW 17 162659 E 09/15-18 44 2 76 21 NW 8 8 3 1 NW18 9995 NW 15 134405 V KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ DANKERS...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...MIKE SCOFIELD - COMM SPEC REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20100912.RESER.02/BOU