FNUS75 KGJT 121746
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR EAST SOPRIS RX...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1146 AM MDT SUN SEP 12 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1219 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION: AT THE REGIONAL LEVEL...HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED
OVER TEXAS AND WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL THROUGH MONDAY. DRY AND
STABLE CONDITIONS CONTINUE WITH LIGHT WEST WINDS ALOFT. HIGH LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL STREAM UP FROM THE SOUTH THROUGH THESE PERIODS. AT
THE LOCAL SCALE...YESTERDAY'S WINDS WERE MORE TERRAIN
DRIVEN...BLOWING UPVALLEY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THIS SHOULD
REPEAT TODAY AND MONDAY AFTERNOONS. SOME DENSE HIGH CLOUDS TONIGHT
WILL YIELD A WEAKER OVERNIGHT INVERSION BREAKING A BIT EARLIER
MONDAY MORNING. AFTERNOON MIXING HEIGHTS WILL REACH 15,000 FEET
MSL TODAY AND A BIT HIGHER MONDAY FOR GOOD SMOKE DISPERSAL.
CHANCES OF SHOWERS BEGINS LATE TUESDAY AND INCREASES INTO THURSDAY
AS DEEPER SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE ROTATES AROUND THE UPPER HIGH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........THIN HIGH CLOUDS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-75 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST/UPVALLEY 5-10 MPH WITH AFTERNOON
                    GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7500-21100 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD
                    (74200 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT AFTER SUNSET...

SKY/WEATHER.........BROKEN TO OVERCAST HIGH CLOUDS...THINNING
                    TOWARDS MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-65%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 1-3 MPH AT SUNSET SHIFTING TO
                    SOUTHEAST 3-8 MPH BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST/DOWNVALLEY 2-5 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PERIODS OF HIGH CLOUDS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 2-5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    SHIFTING TO NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH WITH AFTERNOON
                    GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR. VERY GOOD BY 1300.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...ODY ANDERSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100912.EASTS.01/GJT