FNUS76 KMFR 130400
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACKWELL...MEDFORD ODF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
900 PM PDT SUN SEP 12 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2030 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK DISTURBANCE TO THE SOUTHWEST WILL MOVE
TOWARDS THE AREA TONIGHT AND INLAND ON MONDAY. THIS WILL BRING
SOME LIMITED MID-LEVEL MOISTURE INTO THE AREA AND WILL
COMBINE WITH DAYTIME HEATING TO PROVIDE SOME INCREASED
INSTABILITY MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY EVENING.  EXPECT THE
POTENTIAL FOR SOME CUMULUS CLOUDS TO DEVELOP NEAR THE BURN
AREA. HOWEVER ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONLY LIKELY EAST AND
SOUTHEAST OF THE BURN AREA ALONG THE CASCADE CREST AND OVER THE
SISKIYOUS.

ON TUESDAY THE DISTURBANCE MOVES WELL EAST OF THE AREA WITH
A RIDGE BUILDING BRIEFLY OVER THE AREA.

AFTERNOON SURFACE WINDS MONDAY AND TUESDAY WILL BE NORTHWESTERLY.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S WITH HUMIDITIES
NEAR 20 TO 25 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOONS.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-52.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-90 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 2 TO 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                     BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 0 TO 2 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING HOURS.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING
                     BECOMING VARIABLE 1 TO 3 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 1 TO 3 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-25 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....UPSLOPE 0 TO 2 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST
                      3 TO 6 MPH IN THE MID AND LATE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING
                     TO 3000-5000 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                     EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN  INCREASING TO 8000
                     FT AGL IN THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........VARIABLE 1 TO 3 MPH IN THE MORNING
                     BECOMING NORTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH
                     IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON INCREASING TO
                     6 TO 12 MPH IN THE MID AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE 1 TO 4 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST
                      6 TO 12 MPH IN THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON

$$
FORECASTER...CLARSTROM
REQUESTED BY...KRISTINA SHEPPARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100912.BLACK.01/MFR