FNUS76 KMFR 130014 FWSMFR SPOT FORECAST FOR PHOENIX...KFIFC NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 514 PM PDT SUN SEP 12 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1612 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 12. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR SEASONAL NORMS...WHILE HUMIDITIES WILL SLIGHTLY INCREASE MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AS A WEAK DISTURBANCES MOVES UP INTO THE AREA MONDAY IT WILL BRING SOME LIMITED MOISTURE AND A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER THE BURN AREA. EXPECT TOWERING CUMULUS CLOUDS TO DEVELOP IN THE EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE IN THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING. MOISTURE IS LIMITED WITH THESE STORMS HOWEVER GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. ON TUESDAY THE WEAK TROUGH DISTURBANCE SHIFTS EAST AND A WEAK RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE AREA. EXPECT THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO REMAIN NORTHEAST OF THE AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON. WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THEN THE RIDGE SHIFTS EAST AND A PACIFIC FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVES TOWARDS THE AREA THURSDAY. THIS FRONT WILL LIKELY BRING WETTING RAINS TO THE BURN AREA FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-77. MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST TO SOUTHEAST 0 TO 2 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING NORTHWEST 1 TO 3 MPH IN THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-4000 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING THEN INCREASING TO 8000-9000 FT AGL IN THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. WINDS MAY BE GUSTY AND ERRATIC NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 2 TO 5 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH EXCEPT SOUTH 4 TO 8 MPH ABOVE 4000 FT AGL. CWR.................10 PERCENT. LAL.................2. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 1 TO 4 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. .MONDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....38. MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST 1 TO 2 MPH IN THE EARLY EVENING VEERING NORTH...THEN BECOMING VARIABLE 0 TO 1 MPH OVERNIGHT. WINDS MAY BE GUSTY AND ERRATIC NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3500 FT AGL IN THE EVENING LOWERING TO 500 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING NORTH 4 TO 8 MPH THEN BECOMING VARIABLE 1 TO 3 MPH. CWR.................15 PERCENT. LAL.................2. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING VEERING NORTH...THEN BECOMING VARIABLE 0 TO 3 MPH OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-75. MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....VARIABLE 0 TO 2 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING NORTHWEST 1 TO 3 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 3000-4000 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING...THEN 7000 FT AGL IN THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........VARIABLE 1 TO 4 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING WEST 3 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING INCREASING TO 4 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................2 PERCENT. LAL.................1. WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 1 TO 3 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING NORTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. $$ FORECASTER...CLARSTROM REQUESTED BY...DUSTIN GILLER TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20100912.PHOEN.01/MFR