FNUS76 KMFR 122211
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR UPPER THOMAS CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
311 PM PDT SUN SEP 12 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1450 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A GENERALLY PERSISTENT WEATHER PATTERN WILL AFFECT
THE BURN SITE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS. TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN JUST ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS...WHILE HUMIDITIES WILL
SLIGHTLY INCREASE MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THERE IS A SLIGHT
CHANCE FOR AN AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORM ON MONDAY.
AFTERNOON SURFACE WINDS THROUGH THE WEEK WILL GENERALLY
BE SOUTHWESTERLY WITH LIGHT TERRAIN-DRIVEN WINDS AT NIGHT.
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION LATE THURSDAY WITH WETTING
RAINS AND MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES POSSIBLE OVER THE WEEKEND.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-47.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT DOWNSLOPE OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL THROUGH
                    THE NIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH BECOMING LIGHT WEST
                    OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. 15 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-77.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WIND BECOMING SOUTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 13000 FT AGL DURING
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-90 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT DOWNSLOPE OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL EARLY EVENING DECREASING TO 500 FT
                    AGL OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH BECOMING LIGHT NORTHWEST
                    OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...KEENE
REQUESTED BY...LIFC
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100912.UPPER.01/MFR