FNUS75 KGJT 131552
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR MESA PEDREGOSA...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
952 AM MDT MON SEP 13 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1330 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION: AT THE REGIONAL LEVEL...HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED
OVER TEXAS AND WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL THROUGH THIS WEEK. MID LEVEL
MOISTURE CONTINUES TO STREAM UP FROM THE SOUTH TODAY...BUT SHIFTS
EAST ON TUESDAY.

AT THE LOCAL SCALE...THE MID-LEVEL MOISTURE STREAM IS SHIFTING EAST
WITH THE CLEARING LINE NEAR CORTEZ AT 930 AM. THE LATEST MODELS
INDICATE THE BURN SITE WILL STAY MOSTLY CLOUDY THROUGH
TODAY...PERHAPS WITH SOME PARTIAL CLEARING FROM THE WEST THIS
AFTERNOON. THIS WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES SIMILAR TO SUNDAY. WATCH
FOR VIRGA THIS AFTERNOON THAT COULD CREATE LOCAL BRIEF WIND GUSTS.
CLEARING SKIES TONIGHT WILL ALLOW FOR A STRONGER SURFACE-BASED
INVERSION AND A WARMING TREND FOR TUESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH PARTIAL CLEARING FROM
                    THE WEST LATE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-78 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-18%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5-10 MPH SHIFTING TO SOUTHWEST THIS
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY WINDS NEAR AFTERNOON VIRGA.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR INCREASING TO GOOD BY 1300.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT AFTER SUNSET...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEARING FROM WEST TO EAST IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-60%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 2-6 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-81 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5-10 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000 INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT WAGNER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100913.MESAP.01/GJT