FNUS73 KUNR 141453
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHARPS...PINE RIDGE AGENCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
853 AM MDT TUE SEP 14 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0845 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TODAY WITH TEMPERATURES IN
THE LOWER 80S. SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL BE FAIR INCREASING TO GOOD. AN
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL APPROACH THE AREA TONIGHT. THIS WILL
BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA WITH SOME STORMS
BECOMING STRONG TO SEVERE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........65 AT IGNITION...MAX 82.
RH..................58 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 5 TO 9 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO
                    15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 15 TO 17 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 TO 5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 16 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 58.
RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST AROUND 14 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................54 PERCENT INCREASING TO 67 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 4.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 TO 700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 8 TO
                    9 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 72.
RH..................MIN 49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTH 5 TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 14 TO 16 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................38 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 TO 2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 17
                    TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.

$$
FORECASTER...CALDERON
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL TWISS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100914.SHARP.01/UNR