FNUS73 KAPX 151355 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR BLUE BEES UNIT 9...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 955 AM EDT WED SEP 15 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 15. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...TEMPERATURES REBOUNDING QUICKLY FROM COOL EARLY MORNING LOWS...AND EXPECT THIS TREND TO CONTINUE WITH MID AFTERNOON HIGHS REACHING AROUND 63 DEGREES. DESPITE WARMING TEMPERATURES...LIMITED MIXING AND A SLOW INCREASE IN MOISTURE AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING... ORGANIZING...AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL KEEP RH PERCENTAGES WELL ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS THROUGH MID MORNING WILL BECOME LIGHT SOUTH...AND EVENTUALLY SOUTHEAST LATER THIS AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A VERY LATE DAY SHOWER AS LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES. A GOOD SOAKING RAIN EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATER THIS EVENING...CONTINUING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT...WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS APPROACHING A HALF TO ONE INCH. WINDS REMAIN EAST SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........53 AT IGNITION...MAX 63. RH..................64 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 46 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 1 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS. TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........43 43 43 61 61 61 84 WEATHER COV..... CHC WEATHER TYPE.... RW TEMP............53 57 59 61 62 62 60 RH..............64 53 49 46 46 48 53 20 FT WIND DIR..W W SW SW SW S S 20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 2 3 4 4 4 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 5 10 10 10 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN EARLY IN THE EVENING. RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 48. RH..................MAX 96 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........84 84 80 80 80 80 80 80 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN TEMP............59 57 56 55 53 52 51 51 50 50 49 49 RH..............57 64 66 69 74 77 80 83 86 89 93 93 20 FT WIND DIR..S SE SE SE SE E E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..4 3 3 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS. .SATURDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. .SUNDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. LIGHT WINDS. $$ FORECASTER...MIKE BOGUTH REQUESTED BY...JOHN ELLIOTT TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100915.BLUEB.01/APX