FNUS75 KGJT 160422
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR PAW...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1022 PM MDT WED SEP 15 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 2025 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A SLOW DRYING AND WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE AS
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHERN
COLORADO THROUGH FRIDAY. THE FLOW INCREASES A LITTLE ON FRIDAY.


.THURSDAY (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........9-14%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN
                    BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY...INCREASING TO
                    5-10 MPH AFTER 1200 WITH GUSTS 15-20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN IMPROVING TO
                    VERY GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL BEFORE 1000...THEN INCREASING TO
                    10000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 MPH.

.THURSDAY NIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........30-35%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5000 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 6 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-13%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN
                    BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY...INCREASING TO
                    7-12 MPH AFTER 1200 WITH GUSTS 15-20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN IMPROVING TO
                    EXCELLENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL BEFORE 1000...THEN INCREASING TO
                    11000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...DAN HUISJEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100915.BEARP.02/GJT