FNUS75 KGJT 150440
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR MESA PEDREGOSA...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1040 PM MDT TUE SEP 14 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 2200 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
BEHIND AN UPPER DISTURBANCE THAT BRUSHED NORTHWEST COLORADO
TUESDAY NIGHT...TEMPERATURES AT THE BURN SITE WILL COOL BY A
COUPLE DEGREES ON WEDNESDAY. DRIER AND WARMER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED ON THURSDAY.

.WEDNESDAY (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-21%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING WEST-SOUTHWEST...AFTER 1300 INCREASING
                    TO 5-10 MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN IMPROVING TO GOOD IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL BEFORE 1000...THEN INCREASING TO
                    7500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........48-53%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY. AFTER 1300 SOUTHWEST
                    5-10 MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN INCREASING TO VERY
                    GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL BEFORE 1000...THEN INCREASING
                    TO 8700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...THATCHER JEREMIAH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100915.MESAP.01/GJT