FNUS76 KSEW 152152
FWSSEW

SPOT FORECAST FOR COON RUN...NPS NORTH CASCADES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
252 PM PDT WED SEP 15 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SEATTLE.

.DISCUSSION...AN ISOLATED SHOWER CAN NOT BE RULED OUT DURING THE
MORNING HOURS IN THE WAKE OF A WEAK FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH THE
AREA LAST NIGHT. OTHER THAN THAT EXPECTING SOME SUNSHINE AND MILD
TEMPERATURES. WIND WILL BE RATHER LIGHT AND PRIMARILY FROM THE
WEST.

ANOTHER WEAK FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH INTO THE REGION
BRINGING A THREAT OF SHOWERS TO THE FIRE AREA LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY. THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT OVERALL KEEPING
THE THREAT OF A WETTING RAIN (>0.20) RATHER LOW.  AGAIN WINDS WILL
BE LIGHT OVERALL...SURFACE AND ALOFT.

ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE REGION SATURDAY WITH A GREATER
THREAT OF WETTING RAINS TO GO ALONG WITH EASTERLY FLOW.

 FORECAST FOR 20 FOOT WIND SPEED (VALLEYS AND RIDGE TOPS) ARE 10
 MINUTE AVERAGES REFLECTING RAWS WINDS.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4700 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
CWR.................6 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING EASING
                    TO 1 TO 3 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WIND.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
CWR.................38 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 3 TO 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WIND.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
COOLER. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
LIGHT EAST WIND.
.SUNDAY...
SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST
WINDS AROUND 3 MPH.
.MONDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS
AROUND 70. WEST WINDS AROUND 4 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...CERNIGLIA
REQUESTED BY...LESHA HASTINGS-SKAER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100915.COONR.02/SEW