FNUS75 KBOU 171124 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR COW CREEK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 515 AM MDT FRI SEP 17 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A WEAK TO MODERATE WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL BE OVER NORTHERN COLORADO. THE AIRMASS WILL REMAIN DRY AND STABLE WITH ANOTHER AFTERNOON WITH TEMPERATURES ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS. WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT BUT AN OCCASIONAL GUST TO 25 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. SINCE THE WIND IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE VERY STRONG TODAY...NO FIRE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS ARE IN EFFECT AT THIS TIME BUT THE FIRE DANGER WILL REMAIN HIGH DUE TO THE DRY CONDITIONS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-69. MIN HUMIDITY........14-17%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10-16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......9200-10200 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. EXCELLENT AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-46. MAX HUMIDITY........40-43%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10-16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......9800 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-69. MIN HUMIDITY........13-15%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 11-17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......8600-9600 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR COW CREEK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 09/17-05 1 0 48 28 W 16 1 172 W 14 2121 P 09/17-06 1 0 44 33 W 16 25 4 1 W22 147 W 14 1793 P 09/17-07 1 0 46 31 W 14 1 722 W 14 7625 P 09/17-08 1 0 49 28 W 10 1 1298 W 13 13458 P 09/17-09 1 0 54 23 W 8 13 3 1 W23 1873 W 12 19290 P 09/17-10 1 0 59 20 W 8 1 4128 W 16 70642 G 09/17-11 1 0 61 19 W 9 1 6383 W 20 121993 V 09/17-12 32 0 64 18 W 10 16 3 1 W31 8638 W 23 173345 E 09/17-13 32 0 65 17 W 12 1 9209 W 23 179890 E 09/17-14 32 0 66 17 W 13 1 9780 W 22 186434 E 09/17-15 32 0 66 17 W 13 21 3 1 W35 10351 W 22 192979 E 09/17-16 32 0 66 17 W 13 1 10154 W 22 189275 E 09/17-17 32 0 64 19 W 12 1 9958 W 22 185572 E 09/17-18 12 0 64 19 W 12 18 3 1 W35 9761 W 22 181869 E 09/17-19 12 0 60 22 W 12 1 6608 W 17 122020 V 09/17-20 12 0 57 26 W 10 1 3454 W 13 62171 G 09/17-21 12 0 55 28 W 10 16 3 1 W31 300 W 9 2323 P 09/17-22 12 0 53 30 W 12 1 262 W 9 2114 P 09/17-23 12 0 52 32 W 12 1 224 W 10 1905 P 09/18-00 24 0 49 36 W 13 21 3 1 W33 186 W 10 1695 P 09/18-01 24 0 47 38 W 13 1 178 W 10 1628 P 09/18-02 24 0 46 40 W 13 1 170 W 10 1560 P 09/18-03 24 0 45 42 W 13 21 3 1 W37 161 W 10 1492 P 09/18-04 24 0 44 43 W 14 1 156 W 12 1534 P 09/18-05 24 0 44 43 W 14 1 152 W 12 1576 P 09/18-06 23 0 55 28 W 15 24 4 1 W35 451 W 15 6056 P 09/18-07 23 0 55 27 W 15 1 1804 W 20 38712 P 09/18-08 23 0 58 24 W 15 1 3158 W 23 71368 G 09/18-09 23 0 61 21 W 14 22 5 1 W30 4511 W 26 104024 V 09/18-10 23 0 63 19 W 13 1 5831 W 28 143438 V 09/18-11 23 0 64 16 W 12 1 7150 W 29 182852 E 09/18-12 31 0 64 15 W 12 12 5 1 W29 8469 W 30 222266 E 09/18-13 31 0 65 14 W 13 1 8908 W 29 224979 E 09/18-14 31 0 66 14 W 14 1 9347 W 28 227692 E 09/18-15 31 0 67 13 W 15 24 3 1 W30 9786 W 28 230405 E 09/18-16 31 0 67 14 W 15 1 9224 W 26 214566 E 09/18-17 31 0 66 14 W 14 1 8661 W 26 198727 E 09/18-18 26 0 65 15 W 13 13 3 1 W29 8098 W 26 182889 E 09/18-19 26 0 63 16 W 13 1 6828 W 25 150147 E 09/18-20 26 0 62 16 W 14 1 5558 W 24 117405 V 09/18-21 26 0 62 16 W 15 24 5 1 W29 4288 W 23 84662 G 09/18-22 26 0 62 15 W 15 1 3859 W 23 77106 G 09/18-23 26 0 61 15 W 15 1 3429 W 23 69550 G 09/19-00 22 0 61 16 W 15 24 5 1 W21 3000 W 24 61994 G 09/19-01 22 0 60 17 W 16 1 2513 W 23 51046 F 09/19-02 22 0 59 19 W 17 1 2026 W 23 40098 F 09/19-03 22 0 59 20 W 18 30 5 1 W18 1540 W 22 29150 P 09/19-04 22 0 59 20 W 20 1 1684 W 22 32654 P 09/19-05 22 0 52 26 W 20 1 1828 W 23 36159 P 09/19-06 14 0 61 18 W 18 30 5 1 W30 1972 W 23 39663 P 09/19-07 14 0 61 18 W 16 1 2920 W 23 59057 F 09/19-08 14 0 63 17 W 14 1 3868 W 23 78450 G 09/19-09 14 0 65 15 W 13 13 5 1 W28 4816 W 23 97844 G 09/19-10 14 0 66 15 W 13 1 5761 W 23 116662 V 09/19-11 14 0 67 14 W 14 1 6705 W 23 135479 V 09/19-12 10 0 67 15 W 15 24 5 1 W28 7650 W 23 154297 E 09/19-13 10 0 68 15 W 15 1 8471 W 22 158851 E 09/19-14 10 0 69 15 SW 14 1 9293 W 21 163406 E 09/19-15 10 0 70 16 SW 13 13 4 1 W29 10114 W 20 167961 E 09/19-16 10 0 70 16 SW 12 1 9333 W 17 144705 V 09/19-17 10 0 69 17 SW 12 1 8552 SW 16 121450 V 09/19-18 13 0 66 20 SW 10 10 4 1 W29 7770 SW 15 98194 G 09/19-19 13 0 63 22 SW 8 1 5653 SW 12 68163 G 09/19-20 13 0 61 24 S 7 1 3535 SW 9 38132 P 09/19-21 13 0 62 24 S 6 6 4 1 SW32 1417 S 7 8102 P 09/19-22 13 0 62 24 S 7 1 1103 SW 8 6787 P 09/19-23 13 0 61 24 SW 8 1 788 SW 9 5473 P 09/20-00 13 0 60 24 SW 10 10 4 1 SW32 474 W 10 4158 P 09/20-01 13 0 59 26 SW 12 1 420 W 12 3957 P 09/20-02 13 0 58 27 SW 13 1 366 SW 13 3755 P 09/20-03 13 0 58 26 SW 14 22 3 1 SW31 312 SW 13 3554 P 09/20-04 13 0 58 26 SW 15 1 298 SW 14 3610 P 09/20-05 13 0 45 40 SW 16 1 283 SW 15 3666 P 09/20-06 16 2 55 28 SW 17 28 4 1 S32 269 SW 16 3722 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...GERALD TUZON REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20100916.COWCR.01/BOU