FNUS75 KBOU 170320 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR ROLLING CREEK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 920 PM MDT THU SEP 16 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A FLAT RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OVER NEW MEXICO THROUGH SATURDAY WITH WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. THE AIRMASS WILL REMAIN STABLE AND DRY THROUGH SATURDAY...WITH SURFACE WINDS INCREASING A BIT ON SATURDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL DROP ACROSS NORTHEAST COLORADO ON SATURDAY BUT SHOULD BE SHALLOW ENOUGH TO NOT DROP INTO PARK COUNTY. DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS WITH WARM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH SUNDAY WITH A LITTLE BIT OF MOISTURE ARRIVING LATE MONDAY AND TUESDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....41. MAX HUMIDITY........43%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 9-13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-2800 FT AGL UNTIL 2300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....71. MIN HUMIDITY........11%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 8-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......11200-12200 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. EXCELLENT AFTER 1400. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .FRIDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....39. MAX HUMIDITY........45%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 13-19 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......11200 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....69. MIN HUMIDITY........11%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 13-19 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......11200-12200 FT AGL AFTER 1400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. VERY GOOD AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60. WEST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR ROLLING CREEK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 09/16-21 24 0 51 20 W 12 18 4 1 W16 2893 W 15 36636 P 09/16-22 1 0 52 21 W 12 1 2022 W 14 25375 P 09/16-23 1 0 52 22 W 10 1 1152 W 13 14113 P 09/17-00 1 0 49 25 W 10 10 5 1 W22 282 W 12 2852 P 09/17-01 1 0 47 28 W 10 1 246 W 12 2459 P 09/17-02 1 0 45 32 W 10 1 210 W 12 2067 P 09/17-03 1 0 44 36 W 10 10 5 1 W26 175 W 12 1674 P 09/17-04 1 0 43 39 W 10 1 169 W 12 1607 P 09/17-05 1 0 43 42 W 10 1 163 W 10 1540 P 09/17-06 1 0 43 43 W 10 10 5 1 W24 157 W 10 1473 P 09/17-07 1 0 45 40 W 9 1 949 W 10 7195 P 09/17-08 1 0 49 33 W 9 1 1741 W 9 12916 P 09/17-09 1 0 55 25 W 8 8 4 1 W25 2533 NW 8 18638 P 09/17-10 1 0 61 19 W 7 1 5057 W 12 58914 F 09/17-11 1 0 64 16 W 6 1 7581 W 14 99190 G 09/17-12 32 0 67 13 SW 6 6 4 1 W29 10105 W 16 139465 V 09/17-13 32 0 68 12 SW 7 1 10931 W 16 156919 E 09/17-14 32 0 70 11 W 8 1 11756 W 17 174373 E 09/17-15 32 0 71 11 W 9 9 3 1 W25 12582 W 17 191826 E 09/17-16 32 0 70 12 W 9 1 12126 W 17 176933 E 09/17-17 32 0 68 13 W 9 1 11669 W 16 162039 E 09/17-18 13 0 68 14 W 9 9 3 1 W21 11213 W 15 147146 V 09/17-19 13 0 62 18 W 9 1 7588 W 14 99243 G 09/17-20 13 0 58 22 W 10 1 3962 W 13 51341 F 09/17-21 13 0 55 25 W 12 18 3 1 SW25 337 W 12 3438 P 09/17-22 13 0 52 29 W 12 1 263 W 12 2648 P 09/17-23 13 0 50 32 W 12 1 243 W 12 2447 P 09/18-00 23 0 47 36 W 12 18 3 1 SW28 223 W 12 2246 P 09/18-01 23 0 45 40 W 13 1 216 W 13 2352 P 09/18-02 23 0 43 42 W 14 1 210 W 14 2458 P 09/18-03 23 0 42 44 W 15 24 5 1 W26 203 W 15 2564 P 09/18-04 23 0 41 45 W 16 1 190 W 15 2457 P 09/18-05 23 0 41 44 W 16 1 178 W 15 2351 P 09/18-06 23 0 41 44 W 16 25 4 1 W20 166 W 16 2244 P 09/18-07 23 0 43 40 W 15 1 366 W 16 5066 P 09/18-08 23 0 47 34 W 15 1 565 W 16 7888 P 09/18-09 23 0 53 27 W 14 22 5 1 W10 765 W 16 10710 P 09/18-10 23 0 59 20 W 15 1 3170 W 17 48638 F 09/18-11 23 0 62 17 W 16 1 5574 W 17 86566 G 09/18-12 44 0 65 14 W 16 25 4 1 SW 6 7979 W 18 124495 V 09/18-13 44 0 67 12 W 15 1 9485 W 16 131931 V 09/18-14 44 0 68 11 W 13 1 10992 W 15 139368 V 09/18-15 44 0 69 11 W 10 16 3 1 W13 12499 W 14 146805 V 09/18-16 44 0 68 11 W 9 1 12089 W 13 134612 V 09/18-17 44 0 67 12 W 9 1 11679 W 12 122418 V 09/18-18 44 0 67 13 W 8 13 4 1 W15 11269 W 12 110225 V 09/18-19 44 0 64 16 W 6 1 8013 W 9 75844 G 09/18-20 44 0 61 19 W 3 1 4756 W 7 41463 F 09/18-21 44 0 59 22 W 3 3 5 1 SW20 1499 W 6 7082 P 09/18-22 44 0 58 24 W 6 1 1107 W 8 5904 P 09/18-23 44 0 56 26 W 9 1 714 W 10 4726 P 09/19-00 21 0 54 29 W 13 21 5 1 W22 322 W 13 3549 P 09/19-01 21 0 53 30 W 14 1 288 W 14 3317 P 09/19-02 21 0 52 31 W 15 1 254 W 14 3085 P 09/19-03 21 0 51 31 W 15 24 5 1 W17 220 W 15 2853 P 09/19-04 21 0 50 31 W 15 1 215 W 15 2772 P 09/19-05 21 0 50 31 W 15 1 210 W 15 2691 P 09/19-06 21 0 50 31 W 15 24 5 1 SW16 204 W 15 2610 P 09/19-07 21 0 51 30 W 14 1 667 W 15 8598 P 09/19-08 21 0 54 27 W 14 1 1130 W 15 14586 P 09/19-09 21 0 57 24 W 13 21 5 1 SW16 1593 W 15 20574 P 09/19-10 21 0 61 20 W 13 1 3787 W 14 44201 F 09/19-11 21 0 62 19 W 12 1 5981 W 14 67828 G 09/19-12 21 0 64 17 W 12 18 5 1 W14 8175 W 13 91455 G 09/19-13 21 0 65 16 W 10 1 8865 W 13 95594 G 09/19-14 21 0 66 15 W 9 1 9555 W 12 99732 G 09/19-15 21 0 66 15 W 8 13 4 1 W16 10244 W 12 103870 V 09/19-16 21 0 66 16 W 7 1 9717 W 10 91301 G 09/19-17 21 0 64 18 W 7 1 9189 W 9 78732 G 09/19-18 15 0 63 20 W 7 7 4 1 W15 8661 W 9 66164 G KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO DISPATCH REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20100916.ROLLI.01/BOU