FNUS75 KGJT 160348
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTH CARVER...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
948 PM MDT WED SEP 15 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHERN COLORADO
THROUGH FRIDAY. BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON THE FLOW ALOFT WILL BECOME
SOUTHWEST AND INCREASE.


.THURSDAY (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-19%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST. INCREASING TO 5-10 MPH AFTER
                    1400 WITH GUSTS 15-18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL BEFORE 1100...THEN INCREASING TO
                    7700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 MPH.

.THURSDAY NIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-42 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-65%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5000 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 6 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-17%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST. INCREASING TO 8-12 MPH AFTER
                    1400 WITH GUSTS TO 18-22 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN IMPROVING TO VERY GOOD IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...BRAD PIETRUSZKA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100916.SOUTH.01/GJT