FNUS75 KBOU 180123 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR PEEWINK FIRE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 724 PM MDT FRI SEP 17 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...WEST TO NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE OVER ALL OF COLORADO TONIGHT THROUGH MUCH OF SATURDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL DROP ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO AND PUSH TO THE FOOTHILLS EARLY SATURDAY. AT THIS TIME THE LOW STRATUS CLOUDS...FOG...AND PATCHY DRIZZLE ARE NOT EXPECTED TO GET ABOVE 7000 FEET MSL...SO THE DRY CONDITIONS LOOK TO CONTINUE AT THE FIRE. STRONG WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED AT THE FIRE TONIGHT OR SATURDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-44. MAX HUMIDITY........50-60%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 3-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN LIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2000. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%) UNTIL 1500...THEN MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-76. MIN HUMIDITY........17-25%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN WEST 8-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-20 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 24-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......8200-9200 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. EXCELLENT AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .SATURDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-50. MAX HUMIDITY........40-50%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN WEST 13-19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78. MIN HUMIDITY........15-22%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10-16 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3000 FT AGL AFTER 0800 UNTIL 1100...THEN 6200-7200 FT AGL UNTIL 1400...THEN 8800-9800 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 6800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR PEEWINK FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 09/17-19 13 0 66 20 W 9 1 4446 W 14 61597 G 09/17-20 13 0 61 25 W 9 1 2337 W 13 31884 P 09/17-21 13 0 59 28 W 9 9 2 1 W21 227 W 12 2170 P 09/17-22 13 0 56 32 W 9 1 199 W 10 1813 P 09/17-23 13 0 54 35 W 9 1 170 W 9 1457 P 09/18-00 23 0 51 41 W 9 9 2 1 W21 142 W 9 1100 P 09/18-01 23 0 49 46 W 9 1 135 W 8 1003 P 09/18-02 23 0 47 51 W 8 1 129 W 8 906 P 09/18-03 23 0 45 53 W 8 8 2 1 W24 123 W 8 808 P 09/18-04 23 0 44 50 W 8 1 124 W 8 814 P 09/18-05 23 0 44 45 W 7 1 125 W 8 820 P 09/18-06 23 1 44 42 W 7 7 3 1 W29 126 W 8 825 P 09/18-07 23 1 46 39 W 6 1 319 W 10 3629 P 09/18-08 23 1 51 34 W 6 1 511 W 13 6432 P 09/18-09 23 1 59 28 W 6 6 3 1 W24 704 W 15 9236 P 09/18-10 23 1 66 23 W 7 1 3193 W 20 71801 G 09/18-11 23 1 69 20 W 9 1 5682 W 23 134366 V 09/18-12 35 0 72 18 W 10 10 3 1 W22 8171 W 28 196930 E 09/18-13 35 0 74 16 W 10 1 8503 W 26 199393 E 09/18-14 35 0 75 15 W 10 1 8835 W 26 201855 E 09/18-15 28 0 76 14 W 9 9 3 1 W22 9166 W 25 204318 E 09/18-16 28 0 76 14 W 8 1 8771 W 24 186450 E 09/18-17 28 0 74 16 W 7 1 8375 W 23 168582 E 09/18-18 28 0 74 17 W 6 6 4 1 W21 7979 W 22 150714 E 09/18-19 28 0 70 19 W 6 1 5824 W 21 108030 V 09/18-20 28 0 66 20 W 7 1 3669 W 18 65346 G 09/18-21 28 0 64 20 W 8 8 3 1 W15 1514 W 17 22662 P 09/18-22 28 0 62 22 W 9 1 1113 W 17 16547 P 09/18-23 28 0 60 24 W 12 1 713 W 16 10431 P 09/19-00 17 0 57 28 W 13 21 4 1 W20 312 W 16 4315 P 09/19-01 17 0 56 30 W 14 1 269 W 17 3872 P 09/19-02 17 0 54 32 W 15 1 226 W 17 3430 P 09/19-03 17 0 53 34 W 16 25 4 1 W24 184 W 18 2987 P 09/19-04 17 0 52 34 W 16 1 185 W 18 2898 P 09/19-05 17 0 52 33 W 15 1 187 W 17 2810 P 09/19-06 10 0 52 33 W 14 22 4 1 W24 189 W 16 2721 P 09/19-07 10 0 53 31 W 13 1 814 W 17 13287 P 09/19-08 10 0 57 27 W 13 1 1439 W 18 23852 P 09/19-09 10 0 63 23 W 12 18 4 1 W24 2064 W 20 34418 P 09/19-10 10 0 68 20 W 10 1 3640 W 18 57363 F 09/19-11 10 0 71 19 W 10 1 5215 W 18 80309 G 09/19-12 10 0 73 18 W 9 15 4 1 W21 6791 W 17 103254 V 09/19-13 10 0 74 18 W 8 1 7855 W 16 103833 V 09/19-14 10 0 75 18 W 7 1 8920 W 14 104412 V 09/19-15 10 0 76 19 W 6 6 5 1 W22 9984 SW 13 104990 V 09/19-16 10 0 76 20 SW 3 1 8403 SW 10 78410 G 09/19-17 10 0 74 21 S 2 1 6822 SW 8 51829 F 09/19-18 12 0 73 22 CALM 1 4 1 SW18 5240 SW 6 25248 P 09/19-19 12 0 68 26 S 2 1 3579 W 5 17138 P 09/19-20 12 0 63 29 W 3 1 1919 W 5 9027 P 09/19-21 12 0 61 30 W 6 6 3 1 SW21 258 NW 5 917 P 09/19-22 12 0 59 31 W 8 1 219 W 6 1002 P 09/19-23 12 0 57 32 W 9 1 181 W 8 1087 P 09/20-00 12 0 54 35 W 10 16 4 1 SW26 142 W 9 1172 P 09/20-01 12 0 52 38 W 10 1 132 W 9 1106 P 09/20-02 12 0 50 40 W 10 1 122 W 10 1039 P 09/20-03 12 0 48 43 W 10 16 3 1 SW24 112 W 10 973 P 09/20-04 12 0 48 45 W 10 1 110 W 10 964 P 09/20-05 12 0 47 46 W 12 1 108 W 10 956 P 09/20-06 31 2 47 48 W 12 18 4 1 S28 106 W 10 947 P 09/20-07 31 2 49 46 W 13 1 255 W 12 2921 P 09/20-08 31 2 53 41 W 13 1 404 W 13 4894 P 09/20-09 31 2 59 34 W 14 22 4 1 SW30 553 W 14 6868 P 09/20-10 31 2 65 28 W 15 1 2451 W 16 38864 P 09/20-11 31 2 67 26 SW 15 1 4349 SW 17 70860 G 09/20-12 52 10 70 23 SW 16 25 2 2 SW30 6247 SW 18 102856 V 09/20-13 52 10 71 22 SW 16 2 7114 SW 18 111959 V 09/20-14 52 10 72 22 SW 17 2 7980 SW 17 121061 V 09/20-15 52 10 73 21 SW 17 28 3 2 SW20 8846 SW 17 130163 V 09/20-16 52 10 72 22 SW 17 2 7882 SW 20 127338 V 09/20-17 52 10 71 24 W 17 2 6918 W 22 124514 V 09/20-18 29 10 70 25 W 17 28 2 2 SW29 5954 W 23 121690 V KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...MATT LEBLANC REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20100917.PEEWI.01/BOU RJK