FNUS75 KBOU 172313 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR RESERVOIR ROAD...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 513 PM MDT FRI SEP 17 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...BROAD HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL CONTINUE OVER ALL OF COLORADO THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE FIRE AREA AROUND 7 TO 8 AM MDT SATURDAY MORNING. EASTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG WITH SOME LOW CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE FOG AND A LITTLE DRIZZLE. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-53. MAX HUMIDITY........55-65%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH UNTIL 2200...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-16 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN LIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......10800 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...WITH PATCHY MORNING FOG AND DRIZZLE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-74. MIN HUMIDITY........30-40%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 6-12 MPH UNTIL 1300 THEN SOUTHEAST 6-12. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3600 FT AGL AFTER 0700. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100. FAIR AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .SATURDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55. MAX HUMIDITY........55-65%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST 8-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-3400 FT AGL UNTIL 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83. MIN HUMIDITY........20-30%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 8-10 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTH 8-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......10800-11800 FT AGL AFTER 1500. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS WARM. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR RESERVOIR ROAD. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 09/17-16 27 0 80 13 SW 7 1 11804 W 18 185467 E 09/17-17 27 0 78 14 SW 8 1 11263 W 17 170045 E 09/17-18 17 0 78 15 SW 9 15 4 1 W22 10723 W 16 154623 E 09/17-19 17 0 73 18 SW 9 1 7226 W 14 103698 V 09/17-20 17 0 68 22 W 9 1 3728 W 12 52772 F 09/17-21 17 0 66 25 W 9 15 4 1 W20 231 W 9 1847 P 09/17-22 17 0 63 29 W 8 1 200 W 8 1504 P 09/17-23 17 0 62 32 W 7 1 168 W 8 1162 P 09/18-00 28 0 58 37 W 6 6 4 1 W26 137 W 7 820 P 09/18-01 28 0 56 40 W 6 1 153 W 7 838 P 09/18-02 28 0 54 42 W 6 1 169 W 6 857 P 09/18-03 28 0 53 44 W 6 6 4 1 W28 185 NW 6 875 P 09/18-04 28 0 52 46 W 6 1 277 W 6 1382 P 09/18-05 55 0 52 49 SW 5 1 369 SW 6 1889 P 09/18-06 55 5 52 53 SW 5 5 4 1 W25 461 SW 6 2396 P 09/18-07 55 5 54 52 SW 5 1 988 SW 8 8106 P 09/18-08 55 5 57 49 S 5 1 1514 SW 9 13816 P 09/18-09 55 5 62 44 S 6 6 4 1 W31 2041 SW 12 19526 P 09/18-10 55 5 67 41 S 7 1 2346 SW 14 30074 P 09/18-11 55 5 70 42 SW 8 1 2650 W 17 40621 F 09/18-12 46 0 72 41 SW 9 15 5 1 W25 2955 W 20 51169 F 09/18-13 46 0 73 38 SW 9 1 3168 W 20 52011 F 09/18-14 46 0 74 35 SW 9 1 3381 W 18 52854 F 09/18-15 32 0 75 32 SW 8 13 4 1 W22 3595 W 17 53696 F 09/18-16 32 0 75 33 SW 7 1 3518 W 16 48464 F 09/18-17 32 0 73 36 SW 6 1 3441 W 15 43232 F 09/18-18 43 0 73 37 SW 5 5 4 1 W24 3364 W 13 38000 P 09/18-19 43 0 70 40 SW 5 1 2776 W 13 30683 P 09/18-20 43 0 66 42 W 5 1 2188 W 12 23365 P 09/18-21 43 0 65 42 W 5 5 4 1 W21 1599 W 12 16048 P 09/18-22 43 0 63 44 W 6 1 1277 W 12 12701 P 09/18-23 43 0 62 46 W 7 1 955 W 12 9353 P 09/19-00 25 0 60 48 W 8 13 5 1 W17 632 W 10 6006 P 09/19-01 25 0 58 43 W 9 1 479 W 10 4520 P 09/19-02 25 0 57 37 W 10 1 325 W 10 3034 P 09/19-03 25 0 56 33 W 10 16 5 1 W20 172 W 10 1549 P 09/19-04 25 0 55 32 W 10 1 155 W 10 1367 P 09/19-05 25 0 55 32 W 10 1 138 W 10 1185 P 09/19-06 17 0 55 33 W 9 15 5 1 W24 121 W 9 1004 P 09/19-07 17 0 56 31 W 8 1 250 W 8 1551 P 09/19-08 17 0 62 25 W 7 1 380 W 7 2097 P 09/19-09 17 0 69 21 W 6 6 5 1 W23 509 W 6 2644 P 09/19-10 17 0 75 17 W 6 1 3380 W 8 37760 P 09/19-11 17 0 78 16 SW 6 1 6251 W 12 72876 G 09/19-12 10 0 81 15 SW 7 7 5 1 W23 9122 W 14 107991 V 09/19-13 10 0 82 15 SW 8 1 10212 W 14 121943 V 09/19-14 10 0 84 15 S 8 1 11302 W 14 135894 V 09/19-15 10 0 85 15 S 9 15 5 1 W22 12392 W 14 149845 V 09/19-16 10 0 84 15 S 9 1 11222 SW 14 131295 V 09/19-17 10 0 82 17 S 9 1 10051 SW 13 112745 V 09/19-18 10 0 81 17 S 9 15 5 1 W22 8881 SW 13 94194 G 09/19-19 10 0 75 21 S 8 1 6041 S 10 63318 G 09/19-20 10 0 70 25 S 8 1 3201 S 7 32442 P 09/19-21 10 0 67 27 SW 7 7 4 1 SW23 361 SE 5 1565 P 09/19-22 10 0 64 29 SW 7 1 301 S 6 1403 P 09/19-23 10 0 62 30 W 7 1 241 SW 6 1241 P 09/20-00 10 0 59 33 W 7 7 5 1 SW26 180 W 7 1078 P 09/20-01 10 0 56 36 W 8 1 156 W 8 1000 P 09/20-02 10 0 54 39 W 8 1 132 W 8 921 P 09/20-03 10 0 53 42 W 9 15 5 1 SW26 108 W 9 842 P 09/20-04 10 0 52 43 W 10 1 101 W 9 843 P 09/20-05 10 0 52 43 W 10 1 95 W 10 844 P 09/20-06 18 1 51 44 W 12 18 5 1 SW25 89 W 12 845 P 09/20-07 18 1 54 42 W 13 1 172 W 12 1905 P 09/20-08 18 1 59 36 SW 13 1 256 W 13 2965 P 09/20-09 18 1 66 28 SW 14 22 5 1 S29 340 SW 14 4024 P 09/20-10 18 1 73 22 SW 14 1 3264 SW 16 59318 F 09/20-11 18 1 76 19 SW 15 1 6189 SW 18 114612 V 09/20-12 52 10 79 16 SW 15 24 4 2 SW28 9113 SW 22 169905 E 09/20-13 52 10 81 15 SW 16 2 10466 SW 21 188741 E 09/20-14 52 10 82 14 SW 16 2 11820 SW 21 207576 E 09/20-15 52 10 83 14 SW 17 28 3 2 SW22 13174 SW 20 226412 E 09/20-16 52 10 83 14 SW 18 2 11581 SW 21 203647 E 09/20-17 52 10 80 16 SW 18 2 9989 SW 21 180883 E 09/20-18 27 10 80 17 SW 18 30 4 2 SW23 8396 W 22 158119 E KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...FORT COLLINS DISPATCH REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20100917.RESER.01/BOU RJK