FNUS75 KGJT 171522
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHAFFEE RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
922 AM MDT FRI SEP 17 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0840 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WARM DRY SOUTHWEST TO WEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE OVER THE FIRE AREA.
EXPECT ENOUGH MIXING FOR OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO NEAR CRITICAL LEVELS.
MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL MOVE CLOSE TO SINGLE DIGITS TODAY AND THIS
WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. NO CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING
                    TO THE WEST 8 TO 12 MPH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO VERY
                    GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10900 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 15
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-60%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 20
                    MPH SHIFTING TO THE TERRAIN DRIVEN 3 TO 6 MPH
                    AFTER 2100.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-400 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........11-16%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO
                    THE WEST 8 TO 13 MPH GUSTS OF 20 TO 25 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO VERY GOOD BY 1200 IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9100 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 17 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...AS
REQUESTED BY...RUSTY STARK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100917.CHAFF.01/GJT