FNUS75 KGJT 180242
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SWEDE 2...SUA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
842 PM MDT FRI SEP 17 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1850 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT SATURDAY BELOW
   8000 FEET...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
   SUNDAY EVENING BELOW 8000 FEET......

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION SATURDAY...BUT AN
APPROACHING WEATHER SYSTEM OFF THE WEST COAST WILL BRING A LITTLE
STRONGER WINDS TO THE FIRE SITE. A WELL DEVELOPED THERMAL BELT IS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SATURDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BEGIN TO
SHIFT EASTWARD SUNDAY AS THE STORM SYSTEM STARTS TO MOVE INLAND.
BREEZY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING WINDS WILL REMAIN A CONCERN.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-17%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT EAST WINDS 2-5 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST WINDS 12-17 MPH. OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS TO 25 MPH AFTER 1400.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5700-6300 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8700 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........46-51%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    AFTER 2100.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5400-20800 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........11-16%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS 2-5 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST WINDS 12-17 MPH. OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS TO 25 MPH AFTER 1400.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3900-4700 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7600 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE CHAMBERLAIN
REQUESTED BY...RICH GUSTAFSON  FMO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100917.SWEDE.02/GJT