FNUS76 KMFR 181213
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR PHOENIX...KFIFC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
513 AM PDT SAT SEP 18 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1629 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL MOVE INLAND LATER TODAY
BRINGING MORE RAIN TO THE WILDFIRE LOCATION. AN EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORM
IS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED AHEAD OF
THE FRONT. EXPECT WETTING RAINS FOR MOST AREAS ON SUNDAY
TOO...AS WELL AS COOL TEMPERATURES. ALSO...AS THE UPPER
LOW MOVES OVER THE AREA EXPECT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY
AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY EVENING. A DRIER WESTERLY FLOW PATTERN
SETS UP EARLY NEXT WEEK AND HUMIDITIES WILL DROP AS A RESULT.
A WEAK TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION AROUND THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN THROUGH THE DAY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-65.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-75 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WIND BECOMING SOUTH 3 TO 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 8
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL EARLY INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
CWR.................70 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WIND BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 10 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 22 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
                    RAIN THROUGH THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-49.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT WIND.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO
                    500 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
CWR.................90 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 25 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT
                    WIND. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-62.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-75 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 7
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 24 TO 34 MPH.
CWR.................70 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...KEENE
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS PELLISSIER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100917.PHOEN.01/MFR