FNUS76 KMFR 162132
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR UPPER THOMAS CREEK...FS-T WILKIE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
232 PM PDT THU SEP 16 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
DRY WEATHER CONTINUES THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. A COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE TOWARDS THE BURN AREA LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON..BUT
IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN AND STALL NORTHWEST OF THE BURN
AREA. THE MAIN EFFECT FROM THIS WILL BE INCREASING WINDS
DUE TO THE SOUTH EXPOSURE. A FEW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE LATE
IN THE DAY...BUT PROBABLY NOT ENOUGH TO WET THE GROUND. THE
FRONT REMAINS NORTHWEST OF THE BURN AREA FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY. THEREFORE MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL ALSO
REMAIN NORTH AND WEST OF THE BURN AREA....BUT IT WILL REMAIN
WINDY...ESPECIALLY ABOVE THE TREE LINE.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING. MOSTLY CLOUDY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. A FEW SPRINKLES OR LIGHT
                    SHOWERS AFTER 4-5 PM PDT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-74.
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT IN THE MORNING. SOUTHWEST 3-5 MPH WITH
                    OCCASIONAL GUST TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL IN THE MORNING...INCREASING 9000 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 17 TO 27 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT IN THE MORNING. 30 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. LIGHT RAIN IN THE EVENING. DRY OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-44.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-7 MPH IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SOUTHWEST 2-3 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL THROUGH
                    THE NIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 13 TO 25 MPH IN THE EVENING. SOUTHWEST
                    3-6 MPH OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................30 PERCENT PRIOR TO MIDNIGHT...THEN 10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-66.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2-4 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN SOUTHWEST
                    5-9 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUST TO 12 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 24 TO 35 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT IN THE MORNING. 40 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...PETRUCELLI
REQUESTED BY...JUSTIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100917.UPPER.01/MFR