FNUS75 KPUB 171131 CCB
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK MOUNTAIN P5...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
530 AM MDT FRI SEP 17 2010

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...VERY DRY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND DIURNALLY DRIVEN.
ONLY MODEST OVERNIGHT HUMIDITY RECOVERIES ARE EXPECTED. A DISTURBANCE
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA MONDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING...AND WINDS WILL
INCREASE AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM ON MONDAY. ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THIS DISTURBANCE.


EXPECTED CONDITIONS AT 0900 MDT:

TEMPERATURE: 60-65F.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY: 30 PERCENT.
WINDS: WEST TO NORTHWEST OR DOWN SLOPE 3-7 MPH.
HUMIDITY EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW 10 PERCENT AT 1400 MDT.


.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78F.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-13 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWN SLOPE 3-5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN SOUTH SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 12000 FT AGL AFTER 1000.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800. VERY GOOD AFTER 1000.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50F.
MAX HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWN SLOPE 3-5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11500 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 500 FT AGL AFTER 2000.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900...THEN FAIR UNTIL
                    2000...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 12000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. GOOD AFTER 1000.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...ROSE
REQUESTED BY...DENNIS PAGE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100917.BLACK.01/PUB