FNUS75 KPUB 172200
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK MOUNTAIN P5...UNITED STATES FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
400 PM MDT FRI SEP 17 2010

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
TERRAIN DRIVEN SURFACE WINDS WILL DOMINATE THE BURN AREA OVERNIGHT...
WITH POOR SMOKE DISPERSAL. AFTER 1000...UPSLOPE WINDS ARE EXPECTED
AROUND THE BURN AREA...ALTHOUGH TRANSPORT WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE
LIGHT THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY RESULTING IN POOR SMOKE DISPERSAL INTO
EARLY AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE EASTERN
PLAINS...AND INCREASE SURFACE WINDS FROM THE SOUTH AROUND
MID AFTERNOON...BRINGING SURFACE WINDS AROUND TO THE SOUTH...AND
INCREASING THEM TO THE 7 TO 12 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 18 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48F.
MAX HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST 4 TO 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10 MPH BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE 3 TO 5 MPH AFTER 2000.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. LESS THAN 500 FEET AGL
                    AFTER 2100.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 2300...THEN WEST
                    AROUND 7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83F.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-19 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE/DOWN VALLEY 3 TO 5 MPH BECOMING UPSLOPE
                    4 TO 8 MPH AFTER 1000. GUSTS TO 12 MPH AFTER 1300.
                    WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 7 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 18
                    MPH AFTER 1500.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 500 FEET AGL UNTIL 1000. 9500 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1100.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1700...THEN
                    POOR.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...HALL
REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100917.BLACK.02/PUB