FNUS75 KPUB 180143
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK MOUNTAIN P5...UNITED STATES FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
743 PM MDT FRI SEP 17 2010

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...CORRECTED FORECAST FOR SATURDAY INSTEAD OF SUNDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
TERRAIN DRIVEN SURFACE WINDS WILL DOMINATE THE BURN AREA OVERNIGHT...
WITH POOR SMOKE DISPERSAL AFTER 1900. SATURDAY MORNING...VERY GOOD
SMOKE DISPERSION CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP AFTER 1000...AND CONTINUE
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY. LIGHT UPSLOPE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP ACROSS THE BURN AREA AFTER 0900 AND CONTINUE INTO EARLY
AFTERNOON.

A  COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE EASTERN PLAINS OF COLORADO
DURING THE DAY SATURDAY...REACHING THE BURN AREA BY MID
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SOUTHWEST...AND SHIFT AROUND
TO A MORE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST DIRECTION AFTER 1500...WHILE
INCREASING TO THE 7 TO 12 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
18 MPH.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49F.
MAX HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST 4 TO 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10 MPH BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE 3 TO 5 MPH AFTER 2000.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11500 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 500 FT AGL AFTER 2000.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81F.
MIN HUMIDITY........9-14 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE/DOWN VALLEY 3 TO 5 MPH BECOMING UPSLOPE
                    4 TO 9 MPH AFTER 0900. GUSTS TO 12 MPH AFTER 1200.
                    WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 7 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 18
                    MPH AFTER 1500.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 12500 FT AGL AFTER 1100.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800. VERY GOOD AFTER 1000.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...HALL
REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100917.BLACK.02/PUB