FNUS76 KMFR 172120
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR UPPER THOMAS CREEK...FS-
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
220 PM PDT FRI SEP 17 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INLAND TOWARDS THE AREA THIS
EVENING BUT WILL REMAIN NORTHWEST OF THE BURN AREA.
THEN...A STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE COAST
SATURDAY EVENING AND MOVE INLAND EAST OF THE CASCADES
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST
OF THE BURN AREA BY SUNDAY EVENING. THE FRONT
WILL BRING LIGHT TO MODERATE SHOWERS TO THE AREA. WINDS
WILL INCREASE SUNDAY AS THIS FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA
AND TO THE EAST WITH SOME GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS
POSSIBLE OVER THE AREA. LIGHT SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE
SUNDAY NIGHT AS THE UPPER TROUGH MOVES OVER THE AREA
WITH SHOWERS TAPERING OFF BY LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY MORNING.


.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH 0 TO 3 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                     SOUTH 3 TO 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-3500 FT AGL
                     IN THE LATE MORNING INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL
                     IN THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 8 TO 18
                     MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                     15 TO 25 MPH IN THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-48.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 3 TO 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING
                     LOWERING TO 500-1500 FT AGL
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH IN THE EVENING
                     DECREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-62.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-60 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 5 MPH BECOMING INCREASING TO 4 TO 7 MPH
                      IN THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS TO 10 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2000-3000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO
                    4000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                     15 TO 25 MPH BY LATE MORNING THEN INCREASING
                      TO 20 TO 30 MPH.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...CLARSTROM
REQUESTED BY...TRENT WILKIE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100918.UPPER.01/MFR