FNUS75 KPUB 181122
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK MOUNTAIN P5...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
522 AM MDT SAT SEP 18 2010

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

IT WILL REMAIN VERY DRY AND WARM OVER THE AREA THROUGH THIS WEEKEND.
A SHALLOW COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE NORTHEAST COLORADO PLAINS THIS
MORNING WILL LIKELY REMAIN EAST OF THE WET MOUNTAINS.
WINDS ALOFT THIS WEEKEND WILL GENERALLY BE FROM THE WEST TO
SOUTHWEST...WHILE SURFACE WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY LIGHT. LOW PRESSURE WILL
STRENGTHEN OVER THE INTERSTATE 25 CORRIDOR SUNDAY NIGHT...WHICH WILL LEAD
TO INCREASED SOUTH TO WESTERLY WINDS MONDAY MORNING...PARTICULARLY THROUGH
THE GAPS IN THE WET MOUNTAIN RANGE. THE SPOT AREA WILL REMAIN PARTIALLY
SHELTERED. WINDS MAY BRIEFLY RELAX LATE MONDAY MORNING BUT WILL INCREASE
AGAIN FROM THE WEST MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WIND GUSTS DURING THIS
PERIOD MAY RANGE IN THE 20-30 MPH RANGE AND POSSIBLY HIGHER FOR EXPOSED
AREAS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80F.
MIN HUMIDITY........9-14 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST 3-8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 11500 FT AGL AFTER 1000.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. VERY GOOD AFTER 1000.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50F.
MAX HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWN SLOPE 3-5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 500 FT AGL AFTER 2100.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 2300...THEN WEST
                    AROUND 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 0400.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85F.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-17 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 13500 FT AGL AFTER 1000.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. GOOD AFTER 1000.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...ROSE
REQUESTED BY...DENNIS PAGE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100918.BLACK.01/PUB